Monday, July 21, 2014

MLB Free Premium Play 07/21: Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

MLB - 913 Boston Red Sox @ 914 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: J
. Lackey vs. D. Hutchison)

***FREE PREMIUM PLAY***

These two teams have been “UNDER” teams so far in the season but I think we have a good opportunity to cash w/ the OVER in here.

I expect TOR offense to do some damage vs. Lackey tonight. They are ranked #2 vs. RHP’s this season, and they are coming from nice b2b offensive games vs. TEX in which they had .395 & .343 BA’s.

John Lackey is in a slump lately… he escaped in his last start @HOU w/ just 2ER’s allowed, but his 3/5 K/BB numbers & 19.5 P/IP said it all about his problems in that game. Actually, in his L4 starts, he had 19.5, 22.5, 19.2 & 20.2 P/IP numbers and obviously, he didn’t go deep in those games.

On the other end, Hutchison is also struggling lately w/ 4, 4, 1, 3 & 6 ER’s allowed in his L5 starts. His numbers vs. LH batters this season have been really problematic for him: 337 wOBA + 4.44 FIP & 4.51 xFIP!

BOS will put 5 LH batters in the lineup for tonight:

1. Brock Holt (L) 3B
2. Dustin Pedroia (R) 2B
3. David Ortiz (L) DH
4. Mike Napoli (R) 1B
5. Daniel Nava (S) LF
6. Stephen Drew (L) SS
7. Xander Bogaerts (R) 3B
8. Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) CF
9. Christian Vazquez (R) C

I expect both offenses to generate some runs with this contest flying OVER the total posted.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 8.5 (w/ J. Lackey vs. D. Hutchison) @ +100 / 2.00 on Bookmaker

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