MLB - 959 Colorado Rockies @ 960 Chicago Cubs
(Starting Pitchers: B. Anderson vs. T. Wood)
Play #4
Brett Anderson struggled in his first start after coming off the DL most likely due to the “rusty factor”, but since then, he made b2b quality outings against the Pirates. The last one was a particular impressive start if we take in account that he was pitching @COL against a team that he has faced a couple of days before. After 3 starts in July, he has a decent 3.02 FIP & 3.99 xFIP advanced stats line to show. He has yet to face the Cubs in his career, so I expect him to be decent tonight.
Eventually, the Rockies will win one road game and I think that they have a good matchup against Wood. Wood is coming from a start in which he logged 113 pitches, he had “just” 4 days off for today, so he might be tend to tire a bit fast in here. He has been struggling lately… Note that even though he had a respectable 3.60 ERA mark vs. STL in his last start, his 6.93 FIP mark is a bad sign for him.
With a strong starting pitching edge favoring the Rockies, I’m taking them @plus money as my Single Dime Play
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ B. Anderson) @ +107 / 2.07 on 5 Dimes
MLB - 971 Los Angeles Angels @ 972 Baltimore Orioles
(Starting Pitchers: G. Richards vs. K. Gausman)
Play #5
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
On the other end, I expect the Angels to do some damage against BAL’s rookie SP. Kevin Gausman didn’t impress in his last 2 starts. His 3/3 K/BB ratio @ SEA isn’t a good sign while he was blasted by the A’s in the previous start. Actually, the last 2 times he has faced potent offenses (OAK & TB), Gausman struggled heavily. One factor that could decide this contest is related w/ the fact that Gausman is extremely “hittable” w/ hitters having a nice 0.270 BA mark against him. This bodes well for LAA offense that is ranked #3 in the league w/ 0.270 BA!
LAA is tired of losing against BAL, they had some great chances to win last night, so I expect them to be focused in here and win this contest.
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 971 Los Angeles Angels ML (w/ G. Richards) @ -132 / 1.76 on Betonline
MLB - 967 Chicago White Sox @ 968 Detroit Tigers
(Starting Pitchers: H. Noesi vs. M. Scherzer)
Play #3
***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***
We cashed last night a nice ML play w/ CWS @ +150’s odds as they clearly had the better pitcher on the mound. However for tonight, the Tigers have “everything” working in their favor, and obviously, I expect a strong reaction from them.
They are 0-4 in the L4 games so they really need to bounce back…
They will throw Max Scherzer to the mound and I expect Scherzer to take care of the business. His 3.31 FIP & 3.18 xFIP numbers in this month are good but not great, but please note the level of his opponents in the month of July (Ranked teams vs. RHP’s in this season):
LAA #8
CLE #4
LAD #5
TB #12
Yes, all top teams! Only the Rays aren’t a top 10 offensive team vs. RHP’s using season numbers, but I have no doubts that they are a top team right now – ranked #4 in the L30 days! Still, Scherzer managed to give his team a chance to win those games. He already has made 3 starts vs. CWS this season w/ great numbers of 2, 0 & 0 ER’s allowed!
On the other end, one thing is to face an underrated Jose Quintana on the mound, another thing is to face Hector Noesi, and I expect the Tigers bats to do some damage tonight.
He is coming from 2 decent starts vs. MIN & HOU but note that his FIP numbers didn’t impress at all: 4.44 & 5.13! Also, MIN & HOU are far away from DET’s power offensive numbers. He has faced DET twice this season and allowed 4 ER’s in each start…
We have a pitching mismatch in here + Bounce Back spot + better offense = TRIPLE DIME PLAY w/ Detroit winning this contest with some ease!
Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 968 Detroit Tigers RL-1.5 (w/ M. Scherzer) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bookmaker
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