MLB Free Premium Play 07/19: San Francisco Giants @ Miami Marlins

MLB - 907 San Francisco Giants @ 908 Miami Marlins

(Starting Pitchers: T. Hudson vs. H. Alvarez)

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SF’s offense has shown some signs of life in their last 2 games by scoring 8 and 9 runs, so we are getting them w/ some renewed confidence.

Tim Hudson is coming from a tough outing vs. OAK in which he allowed 6 ER’s in just 5.1 IP’s of work. Hudson’s problems vs. LH batters (w/ .323 wOBA + 3.64 FIP + 4.12 xFIP) were well explored by the A’s dynamic lineup and he couldn’t match them. I expect them to bounce back vs. MIA today! MIA’s lineup for today:

1. Christian Yelich (L) LF
2. Jordany Valdespin (L) 2B
3. Giancarlo Stanton (R) RF
4. Casey McGehee (R) 3B
5. Garrett Jones (L) 1B
6. Marcell Ozuna (R) CF
7. Jarrod Saltalamacchia (S) C
8. Adeiny Hechavarria (R) SS
9. Henderson Alvarez (R) P

MIA will put “only” 4 batters from the left side w/ only Yelich being a real threat for him (Garrett Jones potentially is the other one but he is batting .200 BA in L30 days), so this is a good spot for Hudson.

On the other side, Henderson Alvarez is primed for a letdown in this second half of season. His stellar 2.63 ERA numbers is not supported by advanced metrics: 3.69 SIERA, 3.35 FIP & 3.57 xFIP! SF’s has some good numbers vs. him, he has faced twice the Giants since the last season and SF torched w/ 4 ER’s in each game!

I think we have a good pitching edge favoring the Giants while their offense has some good confidence right now and therefore, I'm taking them in here!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ T. Hudson) @ -112 / 1.89 on Betonline