NBA - 805 Memphis Grizzlies @ 806 Minnesota Timberwolves
Play #2
MEM is playing really well right now w/ the return of Marc Gasol and the additions of C. Lee and J. Johnson. Their defense has been phenomenal while offensively, they are quite decent because M. Conley is playing @ All star level while C. Lee is way better shooter vs. T. Allen and so, MEM has now a better floor spacing in my opinion.
Their road win @Portland a couple of days ago says it all, because MEM held one of the best offensive teams in the league @81 points playing at home while MEM was able to shoot 52% from the field!
I expect them to dominate the frontcourt battle against a MIN that is playing without N. Pekovic! I went w/ MIN-10.5 in their last game vs. NO because they had a favorable spot and matchup against a team that was playing without their 3 best “big men” in A. Davis, R. Anderson & J. Smith, but still MIN didn’t dominate NO down low: it was 50/50 battle on the boards while MIN was outscored in the paint 42-46.
Well, if MIN had some troubles vs. NO frontcourt, good luck then vs. MEM huge frontline!
MIN interior defense is allowing 66% FG at the rim in L10 games…
Also, I didn’t like the fact that vs. NO, Love & Martin attempted 44 FG’s vs. 13 FGA from the other 3 starters 3 starters Rubio + Brewer + Turiaf – it showed that MIN’ starting lineup somehow is one-dimensional and this is problematic vs. current MEM defense!
MIN won the first h2h game @MEM earlier on the season and Pekovic ended up being the MIN player w/ better +/- team points w/ +11! Without him, MEM will dominate the boards and ultimately, they are simply the best team in this matchup.
Their road win @Portland a couple of days ago says it all, because MEM held one of the best offensive teams in the league @81 points playing at home while MEM was able to shoot 52% from the field!
I expect them to dominate the frontcourt battle against a MIN that is playing without N. Pekovic! I went w/ MIN-10.5 in their last game vs. NO because they had a favorable spot and matchup against a team that was playing without their 3 best “big men” in A. Davis, R. Anderson & J. Smith, but still MIN didn’t dominate NO down low: it was 50/50 battle on the boards while MIN was outscored in the paint 42-46.
Well, if MIN had some troubles vs. NO frontcourt, good luck then vs. MEM huge frontline!
MIN interior defense is allowing 66% FG at the rim in L10 games…
Also, I didn’t like the fact that vs. NO, Love & Martin attempted 44 FG’s vs. 13 FGA from the other 3 starters 3 starters Rubio + Brewer + Turiaf – it showed that MIN’ starting lineup somehow is one-dimensional and this is problematic vs. current MEM defense!
MIN won the first h2h game @MEM earlier on the season and Pekovic ended up being the MIN player w/ better +/- team points w/ +11! Without him, MEM will dominate the boards and ultimately, they are simply the best team in this matchup.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 805 Memphis Grizzlies (-1) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 809 Sacramento Kings @ 810 Dallas Mavericks
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"I told our team afterward that I am going to start playing guys who are willing to defend," coach Michael Malone said. "And if (we) are not ready to defend ... I can no longer be a hypocrite. I've been a hypocrite the whole year. I got the job in June and I preached defense and that's what I believe in. We're one of the worst defensive teams in the league."
As expected, DAL had tremendous problems vs. HOU in the last game (I had a play w/ HOU+3.5)… they just can’t defend properly vs. teams that have skilled “big” players. Not only Howard had 6-10 FG + 9-11 FT for 21 pts but also Terrence Jones had 7-10 FG for 16 points and even Donatas Motiejunas torched the Mavericks w/ 4-5 FG, 4-6 FT for 12 points – all frontcourt players combined to shot 17-25 FG 68% FG!
DAL’s poor interior defense can’t protect properly the basket…L2 games vs. HOU & DET they have allowed 56 points in the paint in both games! The good news for them is that D. Cousins won’t play tonight and without him, SAC offense is merely a guard-oriented offense – more favorable matchup for DAL! SAC in L4 games w/o him had just 14, 23, 15 and 20 assists!
Note that in the first h2h game between these two teams Cousins completely dominated the Maverics w/ 10-17 FG 12-14 FT, 32 pts and 19 rebounds!
I also expect SAC defense to be a bit better tonight after the warning from their coach. They faced lately some powerful frontcourt units in which they torched SAC bad interior defense (HOU, IND, DEN, UTA and MEM) but DAL don’t have such powerful physical frontline unit.
My fair line for this contest is 206 points and so we have the proper edge for a top play w/ Under!
Play #3
***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***
Ok, so we have two teams that are coming from AWFUL defensive performances in their last games and their coaches were pissed off about it:
Rick Carlisle was unhappy with his team's defense during Wednesday's game, and said that "everything is in play" as he looks to correct the problem.
"We got a lot of guys who are ready," Carlisle said. "We’ll keep looking at it every day. Our guys who haven’t played much practiced well today and I’m certain that they’re ready to go if needed."
Rick Carlisle was unhappy with his team's defense during Wednesday's game, and said that "everything is in play" as he looks to correct the problem.
"We got a lot of guys who are ready," Carlisle said. "We’ll keep looking at it every day. Our guys who haven’t played much practiced well today and I’m certain that they’re ready to go if needed."
+
"I told our team afterward that I am going to start playing guys who are willing to defend," coach Michael Malone said. "And if (we) are not ready to defend ... I can no longer be a hypocrite. I've been a hypocrite the whole year. I got the job in June and I preached defense and that's what I believe in. We're one of the worst defensive teams in the league."
As expected, DAL had tremendous problems vs. HOU in the last game (I had a play w/ HOU+3.5)… they just can’t defend properly vs. teams that have skilled “big” players. Not only Howard had 6-10 FG + 9-11 FT for 21 pts but also Terrence Jones had 7-10 FG for 16 points and even Donatas Motiejunas torched the Mavericks w/ 4-5 FG, 4-6 FT for 12 points – all frontcourt players combined to shot 17-25 FG 68% FG!
DAL’s poor interior defense can’t protect properly the basket…L2 games vs. HOU & DET they have allowed 56 points in the paint in both games! The good news for them is that D. Cousins won’t play tonight and without him, SAC offense is merely a guard-oriented offense – more favorable matchup for DAL! SAC in L4 games w/o him had just 14, 23, 15 and 20 assists!
Note that in the first h2h game between these two teams Cousins completely dominated the Maverics w/ 10-17 FG 12-14 FT, 32 pts and 19 rebounds!
I also expect SAC defense to be a bit better tonight after the warning from their coach. They faced lately some powerful frontcourt units in which they torched SAC bad interior defense (HOU, IND, DEN, UTA and MEM) but DAL don’t have such powerful physical frontline unit.
My fair line for this contest is 206 points and so we have the proper edge for a top play w/ Under!
Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 809/810 Under 216 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 807 Oklahoma City Thunder @ 808 Brooklyn Nets
Play #4
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
OKC’s coach decided to quit on Perkins last game vs. MIA and OKC offense just exploded after he exit the game w/ 5min on. OKC’s small ball was phenomenal and I expect them to use once again b/c BKN is playing small ball right now.
I’ve just checked BKN’s injuries and Kirilenko won’t play tonight so basically, Kevin Durant will have a great matchup to produce offensively even though it really doesn’t matter as of late.
OKC’s offense has been great especially in P&R’s, spot up and transition and this is exactly where BKN’s defense is struggling all season long… BKN defense is ranked #24 vs. P&R ball handler plays; #28 spot up & #23 in transition defense…
On the other side, BKN emergence as of late has been essentially from their offense. Off. Rtg in 2014 =110.5 vs. 106 in the first 31 games of the season! Because of their super depth on the bench, I expect BKN to put an extra gear once Deron Williams enters the game… OKC’s is in a bad physical spot and I think that BKN will push the pace a little bit tonight.
With the way OKC is scoring lately & my projected BKN game plan, I think we have some nice edge w/ Over in this contest and therefore, I'm taking the Over as my Double Dime Play!
I’ve just checked BKN’s injuries and Kirilenko won’t play tonight so basically, Kevin Durant will have a great matchup to produce offensively even though it really doesn’t matter as of late.
OKC’s offense has been great especially in P&R’s, spot up and transition and this is exactly where BKN’s defense is struggling all season long… BKN defense is ranked #24 vs. P&R ball handler plays; #28 spot up & #23 in transition defense…
On the other side, BKN emergence as of late has been essentially from their offense. Off. Rtg in 2014 =110.5 vs. 106 in the first 31 games of the season! Because of their super depth on the bench, I expect BKN to put an extra gear once Deron Williams enters the game… OKC’s is in a bad physical spot and I think that BKN will push the pace a little bit tonight.
With the way OKC is scoring lately & my projected BKN game plan, I think we have some nice edge w/ Over in this contest and therefore, I'm taking the Over as my Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 807/808 Over 197.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
NBA - 815 Charlotte Bobcats @ 816 Los Angeles Lakers
Play #5
All Jefferson has been an absolute beast as of late:
“Jefferson has been on a tear of late, averaging 26.9 points and 11.9 rebounds while shooting 55.7 percent over the last 10 games. He scored 11 of his season high-tying 35 points in the fourth quarter and added 11 boards as Charlotte (20-27) opened a four-game trip Wednesday with a 101-98 win at Denver.”
Tonight they will face the soft LAL frontcourt so I expect CHA to have a decisive edge in here. It looks like S. Nash will return to action tonight… him & K. Marshall are awful individual defensive players and so I expect CHA guards to be aggressive off the dribble vs. them. CHA is a terrible jump shooting team but IMO they will be focused in attacking the rim vs. LAL interior defense that is allowing 67% FG at the rim in L10 games!
LAL has been completely outrebounded as of late w/ subpar 43.9% reb/rate% and so I expect also CHA to have the edge in this key area.
Obviously, CHA has been struggling to defend from the perimeter and LAL will attempt a lot of three pointers but I’ve handicapped this contest as being a pure 50/50 game and so, we need 3-pts of edge for the Underdog in order to play them and that’s exactly what we are getting in here.
“Jefferson has been on a tear of late, averaging 26.9 points and 11.9 rebounds while shooting 55.7 percent over the last 10 games. He scored 11 of his season high-tying 35 points in the fourth quarter and added 11 boards as Charlotte (20-27) opened a four-game trip Wednesday with a 101-98 win at Denver.”
Tonight they will face the soft LAL frontcourt so I expect CHA to have a decisive edge in here. It looks like S. Nash will return to action tonight… him & K. Marshall are awful individual defensive players and so I expect CHA guards to be aggressive off the dribble vs. them. CHA is a terrible jump shooting team but IMO they will be focused in attacking the rim vs. LAL interior defense that is allowing 67% FG at the rim in L10 games!
LAL has been completely outrebounded as of late w/ subpar 43.9% reb/rate% and so I expect also CHA to have the edge in this key area.
Obviously, CHA has been struggling to defend from the perimeter and LAL will attempt a lot of three pointers but I’ve handicapped this contest as being a pure 50/50 game and so, we need 3-pts of edge for the Underdog in order to play them and that’s exactly what we are getting in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 815 Charlotte Bobcats (+3) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 801 Milwaukee Bucks @ 802 Orlando Magic
Play #1
In this contest we’ll have IMO a classic game between two lowly teams without any kind of defensive aggression.
ORL has been struggling offensively lately because without Vucevic, they are a pure guard-oriented team that doesn’t have the proper offensive talent to generate easy points. The good news is that Vucevic returned in the last and in just 21 minutes he was effective w/ 6-12 FG 4-4 FT, 16 pts and 10 reb.
Still, ORL struggled to score vs. TOR because their guards were just terrible: Nelson 5-15 FG, Afflalo 4-11 FG and Oladipo 3-14 FG! Well, it was a bad spot for them (b2b game) and TOR defense is quite good defending P&R plays.
For tonight, ORL had one day off to rest, Vucevic will play without restrictions and… ORL will face a terrible defensive team in the Bucks = offensive bounce back performance!
The key question for this contest is related w/ MIL offense…
Their head coach has confirmed that he will play some small ball tonight w/ 2 pure guards in Knight & Wolters and so I expect MIL to be more an up tempo team. B. Knight has been one of the few decent offensive players for the team and I expect him to have the edge vs. slow footed J. Nelson in his matchup.
My fair line for this contest is 198 points and therefore, we have the proper edge to play w/ OVER as my Single Dime Play!
ORL has been struggling offensively lately because without Vucevic, they are a pure guard-oriented team that doesn’t have the proper offensive talent to generate easy points. The good news is that Vucevic returned in the last and in just 21 minutes he was effective w/ 6-12 FG 4-4 FT, 16 pts and 10 reb.
Still, ORL struggled to score vs. TOR because their guards were just terrible: Nelson 5-15 FG, Afflalo 4-11 FG and Oladipo 3-14 FG! Well, it was a bad spot for them (b2b game) and TOR defense is quite good defending P&R plays.
For tonight, ORL had one day off to rest, Vucevic will play without restrictions and… ORL will face a terrible defensive team in the Bucks = offensive bounce back performance!
The key question for this contest is related w/ MIL offense…
Their head coach has confirmed that he will play some small ball tonight w/ 2 pure guards in Knight & Wolters and so I expect MIL to be more an up tempo team. B. Knight has been one of the few decent offensive players for the team and I expect him to have the edge vs. slow footed J. Nelson in his matchup.
My fair line for this contest is 198 points and therefore, we have the proper edge to play w/ OVER as my Single Dime Play!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 801/802 Over 193.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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