Play #1
My fair line for this contest is a pure 50/50 game, so we should be dealing with a PK line instead of the Bulls being favored by 3/4 points.
The biggest problem for me is related w/ BKN’s physical spot, as their key players aren’t young and playing b2b games w/ the second game being @CHI isn’t exactly a good spot.
Fortunately for them, BKN’s bench has been superb lately with an incredible depth and all players are confident and ready to contribute. Last night, they were able to defeat CHA 105-89 and no player played more than 28 minutes, while Jason Kidd played 12 (!!!) players! Kevin Garnett logged just 15 minutes so it was pretty clear that the Nets were thinking in advance in tonight’s contest.
These two teams don’t like each other… CHI defeated the Nets in the playoffs winning the game 7 @BKN and already in this season, CHI humiliated the Nets in the Christmas’ day by crushing them 95-78.
However, things have changed and the Nets are playing pretty well right now. In that game, CHI’s bench was a major factor for their win as Gibson, Augustin & Snell combined to shoot 15-28 FG for 37 points, 16 rebounds & 7 assists while BKN’s bench was just awful – note that P. Pierce (he was a backup then) and Blatche combined to shoot 2-19 FG! For tonight I expect the roles to be reversed and the Nets bench to have some edge over CHI's 2nd unit.
CHI’s frontcourt unit of Noah & Gibson has been playing well… looks like Boozer will return tonight and this is IMO good news for… the Nets! They might dominate BKN’s starting frontcourt unit but the Nets have some great depth on the bench in this area w/ Teletovic, Plumlee, Blatche and Kirilenko and so, I expect BKN to be competitive especially by their tremendous edge w/ 2nd unit.
The biggest problem for me is related w/ BKN’s physical spot, as their key players aren’t young and playing b2b games w/ the second game being @CHI isn’t exactly a good spot.
Fortunately for them, BKN’s bench has been superb lately with an incredible depth and all players are confident and ready to contribute. Last night, they were able to defeat CHA 105-89 and no player played more than 28 minutes, while Jason Kidd played 12 (!!!) players! Kevin Garnett logged just 15 minutes so it was pretty clear that the Nets were thinking in advance in tonight’s contest.
These two teams don’t like each other… CHI defeated the Nets in the playoffs winning the game 7 @BKN and already in this season, CHI humiliated the Nets in the Christmas’ day by crushing them 95-78.
However, things have changed and the Nets are playing pretty well right now. In that game, CHI’s bench was a major factor for their win as Gibson, Augustin & Snell combined to shoot 15-28 FG for 37 points, 16 rebounds & 7 assists while BKN’s bench was just awful – note that P. Pierce (he was a backup then) and Blatche combined to shoot 2-19 FG! For tonight I expect the roles to be reversed and the Nets bench to have some edge over CHI's 2nd unit.
CHI’s frontcourt unit of Noah & Gibson has been playing well… looks like Boozer will return tonight and this is IMO good news for… the Nets! They might dominate BKN’s starting frontcourt unit but the Nets have some great depth on the bench in this area w/ Teletovic, Plumlee, Blatche and Kirilenko and so, I expect BKN to be competitive especially by their tremendous edge w/ 2nd unit.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501 Brooklyn Nets (+4) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada
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