Tuesday, February 4, 2014

NBA Free Premium Play 02/04: Charlotte Bobcats @ Golden State Warriors

  
Charlotte  at Golden State 
NBA - 507 Charlotte Bobcats @ 508 Golden State Warriors

Play #2


CHA has been a competitive team this season when being underdogs, but they really tend to struggle vs. great offensive fast paced teams, and GSW w/ 3 days off to rest and prepare tonight’s game fits perfectly in those role of teams.

CHA offense keeps struggling to hit outside shots – 31-91 3pts in the L5 games for a subpar 34% mark. Their only consistent offensive threat has been Al Jefferson that is playing some great basketball right now. He struggled big time in the last game @PHX, but it was a natural letdown after 2 great performances @DEN & @LAL. The problem is that for tonight, “Big Al” won’t face JJ Hickson or Pau Gasol down low but rather Andrew Bogut. Bogut is finally playing consistent minutes, and his post up defense is excellent, and so I don’t think Al Jefferson will have any considerable edge on his individual matchup, and therefore, I expect CHA offense to struggle a bit tonight.

On the other side, CHA defense is build to protect the basket but they are poor perimeter defensive team – ranked #28 in defending 3pts by allowing 37.3%. GSW offense as you can guess is one of the best shooting teams in the league (ranked #3 in 3pts% w/ 38.1%) and w/ 3 days off, I expect them to completely torch CHA from the outside.

GSW’s storyline for this contest has been Klay Thompson’ shooting struggles as of late:

Thompson has seen his field goal percentage drop each month this season and finished with a 38.4 percent field goal percentage in January. "I just remind him that it's his third year, and he's played a lot of minutes and added obviously some responsibilities on both sides of the floor just to make sure he understands you're going to get heavy-legged a couple times throughout the season," Stephen Curry said.

Well, this is a great spot for him to enjoy a decent offensive performance while w/ GSW having the edge in both offense & defense, I expect them to easily crush the Bobcats tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 508 Golden State Warriors (-10) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

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