NBA - 703 New Orleans Pelicans @ 704 Toronto Raptors
Play #3
Anthony Davis is a beast but he can’t win games alone... NO has been shorthanded for quite some time and right now they really depend of their backcourt unit Gordon & Roberts to be competitive. Note that we aren’t talking about two elite players, and when a poor perimeter defensive team like the Nets, was able to put some additional pressure and shut down both players (4-9 FG & 3-12 FG), I expect the Raptors to have a similar game plan for tonight and easily defeat the Pelicans in here.
NO’s P&R ball handler game was held to 4-12 FG last night by the #24 ranked Nets defense…well, TOR is one of the best defensive teams vs. P&R ball handler – ranked #3 and so, I expect TOR to have a good defensive performance tonight.
On the other side, both Gordon & Roberts are terrible defensively! We can expect Lowry & DeRozan to enjoy efficient offensive games and I’m taking the Raptors in here as my fair line for this contest is TOR-10.
NO’s P&R ball handler game was held to 4-12 FG last night by the #24 ranked Nets defense…well, TOR is one of the best defensive teams vs. P&R ball handler – ranked #3 and so, I expect TOR to have a good defensive performance tonight.
On the other side, both Gordon & Roberts are terrible defensively! We can expect Lowry & DeRozan to enjoy efficient offensive games and I’m taking the Raptors in here as my fair line for this contest is TOR-10.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 704 Toronto Raptors (-7) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
NBA - 707 Houston Rockets @ 708 Minnesota Timberwolves
Play #4
HOU offense is now more focused in playing for D. Howard – In the L5 games their vol% of post up plays = 17.3% vs. 12.1% season numbers and Howard is just killing every opponent right now and this is creating more space on the outside for HOU shooters.
MIN is now without Pekovic and with Love banged up, so I expect Howard to continue his personal dominance.
To make things even worse, MIN best perimeter offensive player is OUT for tonight and in this potential run and gun game, MIN simply don’t have the proper talent to hang around against this healthy Rockets team!
MIN is now without Pekovic and with Love banged up, so I expect Howard to continue his personal dominance.
To make things even worse, MIN best perimeter offensive player is OUT for tonight and in this potential run and gun game, MIN simply don’t have the proper talent to hang around against this healthy Rockets team!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707 Houston Rockets (-4.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
NBA - 711 Philadelphia 76ers @ 712 Golden State Warriors
Play #5
It was awful! PHI offense just couldn’t score against the Clippers last night… They are a bad jump shooting team but still 3-28 3pts mark was awful, but what really “stopped” PHI to be efficient was the LAC’s size of their frontcourt. PHI offense is predicated to attack the rim and score some easy baskets but last night they went 17-44 FG at the rim – 38.6% FG!!! The good news for today is that they will face GSW that is banged up / shorthanded on the frontcourt!
GSW is coming from a loss @PHX in which they simply couldn’t stop the Suns to attack them off the dribble, penetrate and then score down low or kick out for their outside shooters. D. Lee & A. Bogut are banged up, and so I expect PHI to put their ultra pace game on the court but this time, they will be decent offensively.
On the other side, I expect GSW to just torch them from the outside with their great shooters as PHI perimeter defense is just awful and so, I’m taking the Over in here as my Single Dime Play.
GSW is coming from a loss @PHX in which they simply couldn’t stop the Suns to attack them off the dribble, penetrate and then score down low or kick out for their outside shooters. D. Lee & A. Bogut are banged up, and so I expect PHI to put their ultra pace game on the court but this time, they will be decent offensively.
On the other side, I expect GSW to just torch them from the outside with their great shooters as PHI perimeter defense is just awful and so, I’m taking the Over in here as my Single Dime Play.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 711/712 Over 213.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
NBA - 709 Boston Celtics @ 710 Milwaukee Bucks
Play #1
I’ve watched this afternoon the game between the Bucks and the Rockets and I’ve liked what the Bucks did w/ their current starting lineup. Obviously, w/ Larry Sanders being OUT w/ just 4 minutes in the game, D. Howard simply dominated the game down low, but still MIL was able to be competitive.
MIL has been more competitive as of late due to some positive changes on their rotation made by Coach L. Drew. Rookie N. Wolters is a good addition on the backcourt to play alongside B. Knight that isn’t a “pure” PG; J. Henson is more effective playing near the basket vs. Ilyasova and even though he couldn’t defend Howard, Zaza Pachulia finished the game vs. HOU w/ a solid line of 5-5 FG, 12 pts, 10 reb. and especially 5 assists!
Tonight they will face a Celtics team that is playing @b2b spot and will be without R. Rondo while A. Bradley looked injured in yesterday’s game vs. DAL. Even though the Celtics were decent from outside w/ 11-27 3pts performance against Dallas, they are one of the worst perimeter shooting teams in the league and the absence of Rondo won’t help them to generate good outside looks for tonight and this is the biggest weakness of MIL’s defense.
I think that the wrong team is favored in this contest as my fair line is MIL being favored by 1/2 points and so, we have the proper edge to play MIL in here as my Single Dime Play.
MIL has been more competitive as of late due to some positive changes on their rotation made by Coach L. Drew. Rookie N. Wolters is a good addition on the backcourt to play alongside B. Knight that isn’t a “pure” PG; J. Henson is more effective playing near the basket vs. Ilyasova and even though he couldn’t defend Howard, Zaza Pachulia finished the game vs. HOU w/ a solid line of 5-5 FG, 12 pts, 10 reb. and especially 5 assists!
Tonight they will face a Celtics team that is playing @b2b spot and will be without R. Rondo while A. Bradley looked injured in yesterday’s game vs. DAL. Even though the Celtics were decent from outside w/ 11-27 3pts performance against Dallas, they are one of the worst perimeter shooting teams in the league and the absence of Rondo won’t help them to generate good outside looks for tonight and this is the biggest weakness of MIL’s defense.
I think that the wrong team is favored in this contest as my fair line is MIL being favored by 1/2 points and so, we have the proper edge to play MIL in here as my Single Dime Play.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 710 Milwaukee Bucks (+2) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
NBA - 701 Denver Nuggets @ 702 Indiana Pacers
Play #2
This Nuggets team without Ty Lawson isn’t the “same” team, especially on the offensive end and this will be problematic tonight vs. IND defense.
Lawson didn’t play in the second half in DEN’s last game @DET and the difference was quite notorious: after scoring 61 points in the first half, DEN was “held” to just 48 points in the second half.
This will be the 5th game of the season in which Lawson is OUT and in the previous 4 games, DEN had a subpar 98.2 Off. Rtg. & 91.5 points per game! It is confirmed that Foye will start @PG while Q. Miller will be the shooting guard. Without Lawson’s dribble drive penetrations, DEN offense is stagnant and easier to defend, especially when we are dealing w/ the best defensive team in the league!
On the other side, IND is struggling right now on the offensive end. I’ve been telling that this IND offense is streaky, and right now they are struggling to hit their jumpers, in four of their last 6 games, they have failed to reach the 20-assists mark!
Two weeks ago, DEN crushed the Pacers at home by scoring 109 points while taking advantage of the awful IND’s physical spot going for that game (b2b game after playing OT game @SAC in the previous day). Lawson was pivotal in that game - 6-11 FG, 12 pts and especially 10/1 A/TO ratio. This won’t happen tonight as IND will control the tempo via their defense while they will keep struggling a bit w/ their offense.
Lawson didn’t play in the second half in DEN’s last game @DET and the difference was quite notorious: after scoring 61 points in the first half, DEN was “held” to just 48 points in the second half.
This will be the 5th game of the season in which Lawson is OUT and in the previous 4 games, DEN had a subpar 98.2 Off. Rtg. & 91.5 points per game! It is confirmed that Foye will start @PG while Q. Miller will be the shooting guard. Without Lawson’s dribble drive penetrations, DEN offense is stagnant and easier to defend, especially when we are dealing w/ the best defensive team in the league!
On the other side, IND is struggling right now on the offensive end. I’ve been telling that this IND offense is streaky, and right now they are struggling to hit their jumpers, in four of their last 6 games, they have failed to reach the 20-assists mark!
Two weeks ago, DEN crushed the Pacers at home by scoring 109 points while taking advantage of the awful IND’s physical spot going for that game (b2b game after playing OT game @SAC in the previous day). Lawson was pivotal in that game - 6-11 FG, 12 pts and especially 10/1 A/TO ratio. This won’t happen tonight as IND will control the tempo via their defense while they will keep struggling a bit w/ their offense.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701/702 Under 199.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
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