NBA - 807 New York Knicks @ 808 Orlando Magic
Play #1
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
The matchup between these two teams is prone to be a high scoring game…
ORL has been healthy lately and obviously, their competitiveness has improved as well. Offensively, they are having some problems to be efficient but note that they have faced IND twice, OKC and MEM in L7 games so, it’s easy to understand their struggles vs. some of the best defensive teams in the league.
In the last game @CLE, ORL struggled as well on the offensive end by shooting just 39.3% from the field but w/ almost all their starters involved in trade rumors, the team clearly was not focused going for that game.
That will change tonight…. ORL’s offense is based in PNR’s while they need their guards to be productive and tonight, they will face Felton + Prigioni + JR Smith + Carmelo Anthony…enough said! NYK defense is ranked dead last in the league in defending PNR’s ball handler plays, so we have a good spot for ORL offense to be decent tonight.
On the other side, I expect NYK’s offense to torch this ORL defense that is predicated to be a decent defensive team near the basket but struggles vs. perimeter – ORL is allowing 38.1% 3pts in L10 games -> ranked #26 in the league!
My fair line for this contest is 200/202 points and so, we have the proper edge to make a play w/ Over as my Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 807/808 Over 195 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 803 Cleveland Cavaliers @ 804 Toronto Raptors
Play #2
Even though most of their wins were against lowly teams, CLE is playing better especially due to an overall improvement of their defense. There are two key areas in which CLE clearly improved: spot up & transition: 1) CLE is allowing just 24.3% 3pts% in L5 games and 2) they are allowing just 9.8 fast break pts per game in L5 games after allowing 19.4 FB/pts per game in the previous 5 games!
Offensively, they continue to rely heavily on K. Irving especially now that D. Waiters is OUT due to an injury. For tonight, CLE will face the #4 ranked defensive team in league defending PNR’s ball handler plays, so I expect CLE to have some problems offensively against the Raptors.
TOR is coming from a subpar defensive effort vs. CHI in the last game. It was a b2b game for them and clearly they were not ready to face such physical frontcourt like the Bulls have. CHI scored 16 pts in the paint in the first quarter vs. 18 in the next 3 quarters! TOR’s coach made the wrong decision to start P. Patterson instead of Amir Johnson and TOR’s defense was awful in the beginning of the game. That won’t happen tonight as Johnson was already confirmed @starting lineup.
With TOR primed for a defensive bounce back & CLE’s improved defense, I expect this contest to be a relatively low scoring game and therefore, I’m taking the Under in here as my Single Dime Play!
Offensively, they continue to rely heavily on K. Irving especially now that D. Waiters is OUT due to an injury. For tonight, CLE will face the #4 ranked defensive team in league defending PNR’s ball handler plays, so I expect CLE to have some problems offensively against the Raptors.
TOR is coming from a subpar defensive effort vs. CHI in the last game. It was a b2b game for them and clearly they were not ready to face such physical frontcourt like the Bulls have. CHI scored 16 pts in the paint in the first quarter vs. 18 in the next 3 quarters! TOR’s coach made the wrong decision to start P. Patterson instead of Amir Johnson and TOR’s defense was awful in the beginning of the game. That won’t happen tonight as Johnson was already confirmed @starting lineup.
With TOR primed for a defensive bounce back & CLE’s improved defense, I expect this contest to be a relatively low scoring game and therefore, I’m taking the Under in here as my Single Dime Play!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 803/804 Under 196 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
NBA - 809 Atlanta Hawks @ 810 Detroit Pistons
Play #3
***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***
Yes, I really hate the way this Pistons team don’t have the proper IQ to be a decent team but in this particular matchup, I really like them to beat the Hawks w/ some ease.
Unfortunately for them, ATL is completely banged up…. I don’t need to talk about their frontcourt as when Elton Brand is forced to play +30 minutes in 2014, it says it all… ATL has been completely outrebounded by their opponents lately – just 46% reb/rate in L10 games% while their opponents are scoring easy points on them in multiple ways.
ATL was able to be competitive because they had a good offensive flow based on their perimeter but unfortunately, they are struggling in this department lately and obviously, they just can’t win games! To make things even worse, Jeff Teague is banged up and he might miss tonight’s game!
ATL is 2-0 this season against DET and Teague was the KEY player in both matchups: he had 8-14 FG 18 pts + 7 assists in the 1st game and 7-17 FG, 18 pts, 9 assists and 6 rebounds in the second game. DET defense is terrible on the perimeter but w/ ATL being so banged up and struggling in here, I expect DET to be “OK” in here.
The biggest factor will be related w/ the HUGE size edge for DET w/ their frontcourt! ATL have only Millsap + Brand + Scott on the frontcourt and I expect frontcourt to completely dominate this contest and that’s why I’m taking DET in here as my Triple Dime Play!
Unfortunately for them, ATL is completely banged up…. I don’t need to talk about their frontcourt as when Elton Brand is forced to play +30 minutes in 2014, it says it all… ATL has been completely outrebounded by their opponents lately – just 46% reb/rate in L10 games% while their opponents are scoring easy points on them in multiple ways.
ATL was able to be competitive because they had a good offensive flow based on their perimeter but unfortunately, they are struggling in this department lately and obviously, they just can’t win games! To make things even worse, Jeff Teague is banged up and he might miss tonight’s game!
ATL is 2-0 this season against DET and Teague was the KEY player in both matchups: he had 8-14 FG 18 pts + 7 assists in the 1st game and 7-17 FG, 18 pts, 9 assists and 6 rebounds in the second game. DET defense is terrible on the perimeter but w/ ATL being so banged up and struggling in here, I expect DET to be “OK” in here.
The biggest factor will be related w/ the HUGE size edge for DET w/ their frontcourt! ATL have only Millsap + Brand + Scott on the frontcourt and I expect frontcourt to completely dominate this contest and that’s why I’m taking DET in here as my Triple Dime Play!
Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 810 Detroit Pistons (-3.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
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