Play #1
The Bulls are coming from a nice win @SAS in their last game and we were able to cash w/ them a nice Triple Dime Play.
The X factor of their win = 58.3% reb/rate% + 52 points in the paint vs. a banged up SAS team! Well, I really think that CHI will have a similar edge vs. NO tonight and so, I’m taking them as my Single Dime Play.
Anthony Davis will play tonight but even with him on the court, NO is super shorthanded on the frontcourt…their center rotation right now is G. Stiemsma, Ajinca & Withey, enough said…
This is good news for a Bulls team that has a decent frontcourt and will dominate the game in this department.
NO has been constantly outrebounded lately and they are allowing 46.8 points in the paint per game in L9 games for some reason…
I understand that A. Davis will dominate Boozer on the offensive end but that’s the only edge that NO will have tonight as J. Butler will defend 1*1 Eric Gordon and it’s not going to be easy for Gordon to have a decent offensive game tonight.
The X factor of their win = 58.3% reb/rate% + 52 points in the paint vs. a banged up SAS team! Well, I really think that CHI will have a similar edge vs. NO tonight and so, I’m taking them as my Single Dime Play.
Anthony Davis will play tonight but even with him on the court, NO is super shorthanded on the frontcourt…their center rotation right now is G. Stiemsma, Ajinca & Withey, enough said…
This is good news for a Bulls team that has a decent frontcourt and will dominate the game in this department.
NO has been constantly outrebounded lately and they are allowing 46.8 points in the paint per game in L9 games for some reason…
I understand that A. Davis will dominate Boozer on the offensive end but that’s the only edge that NO will have tonight as J. Butler will defend 1*1 Eric Gordon and it’s not going to be easy for Gordon to have a decent offensive game tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 511 Chicago Bulls ML @ -120 / 1.83 on Betonline
NBA - 501 Brooklyn Nets @ 502 Indiana Pacers
Play #2
The Pacers struggled pretty badly in the first half vs. PHX in the last game by allowing 66 points! Eventually, they adjusted and bounced back in the 2nd half w/ strong 3rd quarter (allowed 11 points) but it was too late.
Their biggest problem was the complete inability to defend in transition vs. PHX: they allowed 21 fast break points & 11-20 FG in transition.
Obviously, we can expect them to be focused on defense tonight – IND is a strong “bounce back” team (8-1 ATS after losing one game) and at home their defense in this spot is particular nasty: they have allowed 84, 81, 82 and 66 points at home after losing one game.
I don’t expect IND to have any kind of transition defense problems vs. BKN tonight. Even though, BKN plays w/ small ball, they simply don’t have the same kind of speed when compared vs. PHX.
BKN is coming from a bad overall performance last night vs. OKC in which they grabbed only 17 rebounds but the good news is that the game basically ended in the first half – so Jason Kidd managed well the players’ minutes.
I’ve said several times that IND offense is a bit “streaky” especially w/ their perimeter and right now they are struggling: 5-21 3pts vs. LAL & 1-15 3pts in their last game vs. PHX!
After playing vs. some fast paced teams like PHX, LAL, DEN, SAC, PHX, GSW and LAC, I expect this contest to be a pure half court game w/ IND struggling to shoot from the outside & BKN struggling to score because…well, because they will face IND defense and therefore, I’m taking the Under in here as my Single Dime Play!
Their biggest problem was the complete inability to defend in transition vs. PHX: they allowed 21 fast break points & 11-20 FG in transition.
Obviously, we can expect them to be focused on defense tonight – IND is a strong “bounce back” team (8-1 ATS after losing one game) and at home their defense in this spot is particular nasty: they have allowed 84, 81, 82 and 66 points at home after losing one game.
I don’t expect IND to have any kind of transition defense problems vs. BKN tonight. Even though, BKN plays w/ small ball, they simply don’t have the same kind of speed when compared vs. PHX.
BKN is coming from a bad overall performance last night vs. OKC in which they grabbed only 17 rebounds but the good news is that the game basically ended in the first half – so Jason Kidd managed well the players’ minutes.
I’ve said several times that IND offense is a bit “streaky” especially w/ their perimeter and right now they are struggling: 5-21 3pts vs. LAL & 1-15 3pts in their last game vs. PHX!
After playing vs. some fast paced teams like PHX, LAL, DEN, SAC, PHX, GSW and LAC, I expect this contest to be a pure half court game w/ IND struggling to shoot from the outside & BKN struggling to score because…well, because they will face IND defense and therefore, I’m taking the Under in here as my Single Dime Play!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Under 190.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 505 Philadelphia 76ers @ 506 Detroit Pistons
Play #3
DET is pretty rested in this spot w/ 4 days off to rest as their last game vs. ATL was postponed, they will face a 76ers team playing their 3rd game in 4 games, so DET has some physical edge IMO.
However, the biggest mismatch in here is really related w/ matchups…
Both teams simply can’t shoot from the outside to save their lives… PHI is ranked PHI #29 in the league shooting 3pts% w/ 31.6% while DET is ranked dead last w/ 30.7%.
Obviously, with two poor shooting teams on the court, we really need to focus on rebounding & frontcourt being the X factor of this contest, and DET will simply crush the 76ers in these two areas!
DET huge size edge on the frontcourt is tremendous and they will use it to score down low w/ some ease. DET is 2-0 vs. PHI in this season, winning both games by double digits points. We should be dealing w/ a double digits pts line for them, and so w/ DET-8.5 spread line, we have the proper edge to take them as my Single Dime Play.
However, the biggest mismatch in here is really related w/ matchups…
Both teams simply can’t shoot from the outside to save their lives… PHI is ranked PHI #29 in the league shooting 3pts% w/ 31.6% while DET is ranked dead last w/ 30.7%.
Obviously, with two poor shooting teams on the court, we really need to focus on rebounding & frontcourt being the X factor of this contest, and DET will simply crush the 76ers in these two areas!
DET huge size edge on the frontcourt is tremendous and they will use it to score down low w/ some ease. DET is 2-0 vs. PHI in this season, winning both games by double digits points. We should be dealing w/ a double digits pts line for them, and so w/ DET-8.5 spread line, we have the proper edge to take them as my Single Dime Play.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 506 Detroit Pistons (-8.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 503 Oklahoma City Thunder @ 504 Washington Wizards
Play #4
NOTE: no detailed write up for this play
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 504 Washington Wizards (+5.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada
NBA - 515 Miami Heat @ 516 New York Knicks
Play #5
NYK is playing some good basketball as of late, no doubt about it! However, just look for their opponents during this winning streak: CHA, LAL, BOS and CLE…not that impressive, right?!
They crushed the Cavs last game especially because CLE’s coach M. Brown did a terrible job in adjusting the lineups to matchup vs. NYK small ball, they allowed Tristan Thompson to matchup vs. J.R Smith! Obviously, Smith torched him and had a rare efficient offensive game w/ 8-16 FG for 19 points.
NYK defense is still horrible especially on the perimeter but by facing some really struggling/poor offensive teams, they were able to be decent…this won’t happen tonight vs. MIA! MIA is struggling indeed, but their offense remains solid as ever.
I. Shumpert is OUT for this contest and so, NYK won’t have their best perimeter defensive player available for tonight. MIA is rested w/ 2 days off and this is a good opportunity for them to bounce back and make somehow a “statement” that they are still “alive”.
They crushed the Cavs last game especially because CLE’s coach M. Brown did a terrible job in adjusting the lineups to matchup vs. NYK small ball, they allowed Tristan Thompson to matchup vs. J.R Smith! Obviously, Smith torched him and had a rare efficient offensive game w/ 8-16 FG for 19 points.
NYK defense is still horrible especially on the perimeter but by facing some really struggling/poor offensive teams, they were able to be decent…this won’t happen tonight vs. MIA! MIA is struggling indeed, but their offense remains solid as ever.
I. Shumpert is OUT for this contest and so, NYK won’t have their best perimeter defensive player available for tonight. MIA is rested w/ 2 days off and this is a good opportunity for them to bounce back and make somehow a “statement” that they are still “alive”.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 515 Miami Heat (-5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 517 Sacramento Kings @ 518 San Antonio Spurs
Play #6
This play is pretty similar to my Triple Dime Play w/ Under DAL vs. SAC…obviously, we are not dealing w/ a 216 total point’s line, and so this is “only” a Single Dime Play but the principles are the same…
SAS is banged up and they have been pretty vulnerable on the frontcourt while being easily outrebounded by their opponents. The good news is that D. Cousins is OUT for tonight and it looks like T. Splitter will return to the lineup… without Cousins, SAC offense is almost 100% guard oriented and it makes easier for their opponents to guard them. I understand that they still scored 103 points last night vs. DAL but note that Gay & Thomas combined to attempt 37 FG’s vs. 18 FGA’s from the other 3 starters…these two players logged 36 and 42 minutes and so, I expect them to have a physical letdown while SAS defense will make a decent job in here.
On the end, SAS offense is super shorthanded on the wings and Tony Parker is banged up…. It’s hard for them to display the same sharp offense w/ so many injuries while they are playing @ slower pace as of late.
The first h2h game had 216 points w/ Cousins dominating down low w/ 11-23 FG, 29 pts and 14 rebounds while Manu Ginobili was the Spurs’ MVP w/ 9-16 FG for 28 points…this won’t happen tonight for sure!
SAS is banged up and they have been pretty vulnerable on the frontcourt while being easily outrebounded by their opponents. The good news is that D. Cousins is OUT for tonight and it looks like T. Splitter will return to the lineup… without Cousins, SAC offense is almost 100% guard oriented and it makes easier for their opponents to guard them. I understand that they still scored 103 points last night vs. DAL but note that Gay & Thomas combined to attempt 37 FG’s vs. 18 FGA’s from the other 3 starters…these two players logged 36 and 42 minutes and so, I expect them to have a physical letdown while SAS defense will make a decent job in here.
On the end, SAS offense is super shorthanded on the wings and Tony Parker is banged up…. It’s hard for them to display the same sharp offense w/ so many injuries while they are playing @ slower pace as of late.
The first h2h game had 216 points w/ Cousins dominating down low w/ 11-23 FG, 29 pts and 14 rebounds while Manu Ginobili was the Spurs’ MVP w/ 9-16 FG for 28 points…this won’t happen tonight for sure!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 517/518 Under 205 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 521 Toronto Raptors @ 522 Portland Trail Blazers
Play #7
POR has a great physical for tonight w/ +3days off to rest vs. TOR team that is playing b2b games and are coming from a game played in altitude @DEN!
So far in this season, POR’s game plan vs. “tired teams” at home has been pretty simple: outrun them as the OVER is 10-1 is this exact spot.
POR is coming from their WORST offensive performance of the season just because they allowed MEM to control the flow of the game – grind out game, and this Blazers team really isn’t efficient playing @slow tempo – this is another good reason for them to push the pace tonight.
On the other end, TOR actually did make some nice rotation last night @DEN, only Ross played 37 minutes while the other TOR’s players played lower minutes. TOR offense is playing w/ some great unselfishness w/ a great 1.73 A/TO ratios and they are creating good open looks especially w/ Lowry as a playmaker. Despite scoring “only” 100 points last game @DEN, TOR had 99 points w/ 7:43 to go….yes, they have scored only one point after, because otherwise, TOR would have scored easily +110 points!
My fair line for this contest is 210 points and so, I’m taking the Over in here as my Single Dime Play!
So far in this season, POR’s game plan vs. “tired teams” at home has been pretty simple: outrun them as the OVER is 10-1 is this exact spot.
POR is coming from their WORST offensive performance of the season just because they allowed MEM to control the flow of the game – grind out game, and this Blazers team really isn’t efficient playing @slow tempo – this is another good reason for them to push the pace tonight.
On the other end, TOR actually did make some nice rotation last night @DEN, only Ross played 37 minutes while the other TOR’s players played lower minutes. TOR offense is playing w/ some great unselfishness w/ a great 1.73 A/TO ratios and they are creating good open looks especially w/ Lowry as a playmaker. Despite scoring “only” 100 points last game @DEN, TOR had 99 points w/ 7:43 to go….yes, they have scored only one point after, because otherwise, TOR would have scored easily +110 points!
My fair line for this contest is 210 points and so, I’m taking the Over in here as my Single Dime Play!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 521/522 Over 205.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes
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