Wednesday, February 12, 2014

NBA Free Premium Play 02/12: Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers

  
Dallas  at Indiana 
NBA - 703 Dallas Mavericks @ 704 Indiana Pacers

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Well, DAL interior defense was completely dominated by Al Jefferson last night that destroyed them w/ 14-23 FG 30 pts while CHA as a team scored 60 pts in the paint and went 20-26 FG at the rim… Today won’t be easier for them as IND has a strong frontcourt unit that is coming from a pure domination vs. DEN in the last game: West 11-13 FG + Hibbert 6-12 FG + Scola 4-8 FG and even Mahimni 2-3 FG.

Like I’ve said ton of times, IND’s offense is streaky and they are coming from a monster offensive game so they are confident and rested = good sign for some offensive continuity.

Obviously, the X factor for this contest is related w/ DAL offense vs. IND defense…

DAL was humiliated last night and DAL’s coach “rested” their key players, so we aren’t dealing with a typical “letdown” b2b spot.

Having said that, DAL offense is actually a “bad matchup” for IND’s defense…
IND’s defense is predicated to “force” their opponents to shoot from mid range and… well, this is what the Mavericks do & w/ some great efficiency: DAL is ranked #5 from 16-23feet + ranked #4 from 10-15feet! Somehow, I think that this matchup is similar to the one IND vs. POR…and POR covered the spread in both games because their offense was able to be efficient vs. IND defense.

Despite last night’s awful game, DAL offense has been sharp and I expect them to be decent while IND’s offense will simply dominate down low.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 703/704 Over 195.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

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