Friday, June 29, 2012

WNBA Premium Card 06/28


WNBA - 601 LA Sparks @ 602 San Antonio Silver Stars

Projected line: 156 points | LA Sparks by 3 points 1ST QUARTER

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

The Sparks weren’t ready to play against Tulsa. They had easily defeated them a couple of days before so they overlook Tulsa and got spanked! They couldn’t answer the full court pressure from Tulsa and LA had an extraordinary 16 turnovers for 21 Tulsa points in the first half and the Shock had also 22 fastbreak points! The combination of lack of effort and the proper mindset to play on the road killed the Sparks.

Now they have the chance to bounce back and at the same time to get some revenge from the Silver Stars who already beat them twice this season. The last two losses from the Sparks were due to some sloppy stars, as they lost both first quarters in those games by a combined 17 points! For today I expect them to bring some energy from the start, this will be their 4th game in seven days, so I don’t know if they will be able to sustain the energy throughout the game and that’s why I like them for a strong start.

The first 2 h2h games between these two teams were played in a relatively slow pace with a 74.4 and 76.7 pace factor. Note that the Sparks have an average pace factor of 79.9, so it is quite evident that San Antonio wants to slow down the pace against them. After allowing for the third consecutive time their opponents to reach the 90-points mark, I expect a more concentrated effort from the Sparks on the defensive end. My projections for this contest are 156 points so we have some value with the Under and so, I'll take the Under in here in a Double Dime Play. As I believe on a very strong start from the Sparks, I'll take them to be leading after the 1st quarter as well. 

Note: I believe only 5Dimes had the odds for the 1st Quarter, but soon other sportsbooks will open lines as well!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 601/602 Under 162.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601 Los Angeles Sparks FIRST QUARTER ML @ +120 / 2.20 on 5Dimes

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