WNBA Premium Card 06/26

NBA - 601 Indiana Fever @ 602 Atlanta Dream

Projected line: 152 points | Indiana by 1

NOTE: EARLY GAME!!!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601 Indiana Fever (+2.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601/602 Under 156.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

WNBA - 603 Seattle Storm @ 604 Washington Mystics

Projected line: 141 points

This is a home-home series and in the first contest last Sunday, the Storm easily dismantled the Mystics at home with a 72-55 win. I had the Under in that game (on a line of 138.5 points) and at the break, the game had only 51 points scored! It was the slowest paced game of the season so far with a pace factor of 63.30 and this shouldn’t surprise anyone because it involved the two slowest paced teams in the league.

For today, I expect another relatively slow paced contest, but still with a faster tempo than the last game. Washington was utterly passive in that game! They had a season low of 10 free throws attempted and for the first time this season, they didn’t manage to score a single fastbreak point and they also established a season low of 18 points in the paint. Without any kind of aggression from the Mystics, it was easy for the Storm to shut them down. Scoring 20 points in the first half was awful and shooting 27% FG didn’t help at all, so for tonight I expect Washington to be aggressive since the start.

Seattle is vastly improved when compared to the early stages of the season and it was just the fact that their key players are finally playing at their best. After averaging a mediocre 90.3 offensive ratings in the first 8 games of the season, the Storm has now averaged 109.3 offrates in their last 4 games!

Finally, this will be an ESPN game, so I expect the referees to favor the offense instead of the defense. I don’t think the WNBA would gain anything if a 31-20 first half outcome happens again, so I expect the referees to call some fouls tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 603/604 Over 136,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes