Euro 2012 - Group C - Spain vs Croatia
A 0-0 draw may put Croatia out of the Euro2012 and a 2-2 draw or more will make both teams to qualify onto the knock-out stage. Therefore, Croatia can't have a defensive approach to this game and if it would hard for them to stop the Spanish offense, then with them needing to have a positive score today, I expect their slow footed defense to get crushed by Spain's vertical passes to Torres.
Croatia will really need to score today and they may even do it, as they have a good striker and a creative midfield against a not-so-top notched Spanish defense. I expect Spain to score at least 2 goals today, while Croatia will risk everything if they get down in the score today. So, I see good chances for a 2-1 or 3-0 win by Spain and therefore, I'll take the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 2.5 @ -140 / 1.714 on Pinnacle
Euro 2012 - Group C - Italy vs Republic of Ireland
In their first two games, Italy completely ran out of gas in the second half. Pirlo is their motor but unfortunately for them, he can't play at his best level for the whole game and with that, Italy loses most of the little creativity they have. Today, I expect the same to happen, as Ireland may have lost their first two games, but they will play hard as usual, as they have some pride and an Italian coach as well. In their first two games, the Irish side saw all their strategy go to waste by allowing goals before the 5 minutes mark in both games! They wanted to play defense and then make some counter moves, but by being down so early, they had to try something and they clearly struggled.
However, this time I expect Ireland to do better against Italy, while the Italian side won't have a lot of stamina to crush Ireland, especially in the second half. Therefore, I'll take both Ireland and the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Republic of Ireland (+1.25) @ -111 / 1.901 on Pinnacle
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 2.75 @ -110 / 1.909 on Pinnacle
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