Projected line: 158 points | Minnesota by 5 points
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
Right now the gap between the Lynx and any other WNBA team is absurdly high and if Minnesota delivers a full 40-min effort game, then there is no change against them. In their last game, they were easily crushing Washington by taking an early 38-14 lead in the second quarter and had a 20-pts lead at the break. Then they got sloppy, lazy on both ends of the floor just to watch the Mystics perform an incredible comeback. They were lucky to be able to escape the jam, but their head coach was upset after the game:
“I think Washington understood it was a 40-minute game," Reeve said. "I thought we played well at the first half, and then for some reason we didn’t understand we needed to continue to play. Certainly towards the end of the second quarter we gave Washington some life, some momentum.”
This was the worst defensive game of the season for MIN (the game had an incredibly slow pace) in which they allowed an offensive rate of 116.2! Minnesota is pissed off because of their poor 2nd half and they usually are a great defensive team in “bounce back spots”. Last season, after allowing their opponents to have offensive rates of more than 105, they have allowed an average of 92.6 in the following game and so it wasn't surprising that I’ve read this from one of their players:
"We were trying to end the game with our defense, that’s what we pride ourselves on. We have crunch-time players, and at the end we made plays. We are a championship caliber team so hopefully we will show that more."
Minnesota is the best rebounding team in the league and they are ranked #2 in points in the paint allowed. This bodes well against Connecticut because the Sun are a poor jump shooting team – in 3 games they shot 12-40 behind the line, that's just 30 %! Their two best players are frontcourt players and so, we have a nice matchup between them and the best interior defense in the league.
Like Minnesota, Connecticut is undefeated to start the season and their blueprint has been their defense with 94.4, 98.2 and 95.6 defensive rates in those games! They have been the best home team in the league, but with Minnesota being so focused after their poor effort in their last game, I think that the Lynx is simply the best team and so, I'll take them in here. As I believe this will be a low scoring affair due to the spot of both teams, I'll be also taking the Under in here in a Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 651/652 Under 164 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 651 Minnesota Lynx (-2) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
Right now the gap between the Lynx and any other WNBA team is absurdly high and if Minnesota delivers a full 40-min effort game, then there is no change against them. In their last game, they were easily crushing Washington by taking an early 38-14 lead in the second quarter and had a 20-pts lead at the break. Then they got sloppy, lazy on both ends of the floor just to watch the Mystics perform an incredible comeback. They were lucky to be able to escape the jam, but their head coach was upset after the game:
“I think Washington understood it was a 40-minute game," Reeve said. "I thought we played well at the first half, and then for some reason we didn’t understand we needed to continue to play. Certainly towards the end of the second quarter we gave Washington some life, some momentum.”
This was the worst defensive game of the season for MIN (the game had an incredibly slow pace) in which they allowed an offensive rate of 116.2! Minnesota is pissed off because of their poor 2nd half and they usually are a great defensive team in “bounce back spots”. Last season, after allowing their opponents to have offensive rates of more than 105, they have allowed an average of 92.6 in the following game and so it wasn't surprising that I’ve read this from one of their players:
"We were trying to end the game with our defense, that’s what we pride ourselves on. We have crunch-time players, and at the end we made plays. We are a championship caliber team so hopefully we will show that more."
Minnesota is the best rebounding team in the league and they are ranked #2 in points in the paint allowed. This bodes well against Connecticut because the Sun are a poor jump shooting team – in 3 games they shot 12-40 behind the line, that's just 30 %! Their two best players are frontcourt players and so, we have a nice matchup between them and the best interior defense in the league.
Like Minnesota, Connecticut is undefeated to start the season and their blueprint has been their defense with 94.4, 98.2 and 95.6 defensive rates in those games! They have been the best home team in the league, but with Minnesota being so focused after their poor effort in their last game, I think that the Lynx is simply the best team and so, I'll take them in here. As I believe this will be a low scoring affair due to the spot of both teams, I'll be also taking the Under in here in a Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 651/652 Under 164 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 651 Minnesota Lynx (-2) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
WNBA - 655 Washington Mystics @ 656 Chicago Sky
Projected line: Chicago by 3 points
***TRIPLE DIME PLAY - SPLIT THE WAGER***
Chicago is coming from a nice win on the road against San Antonio where they exploited their huge size advantage down low to pound the Silver Stars. Sylvia Fowles was unstoppable by shooting 10-13FG and Chicago scored 40 points in the paint, with 52% of their points coming from this area!
“San Antonio don’t really have an answer to Fowles in the post. And while that’s true for practically every team on the planet when Big Syl’s in the mood, it’s especially true for the Silver Stars. She’s too big for Sophia Young, too quick for Adams, and just all-around too good for Appel. We haven’t seen enough of Ziomara Morrison yet to know what she can do, but she didn’t have much chance last night either.”
The only way the Stars would have been able to be competitive in that game would be with a good outside shooting performance, but by shooting 6-23 behind the line (just 26%), the game was a mismatch favoring Chicago.
On the other end, I like the mindset of Washington for tonight’s game. After being down by more than 20points against the WNBA champs Minnesota, they could easily fold but instead they fought back and they are going for this contest in a good mood. They struggled badly with turnovers in the first two games, but their head coach focused her energy in this department and after committing 23 and 32 turnovers in the first 2 games, Washington committed just 11 against the Lynx!
This will be the second game between these two teams this season and in the first one, Chicago went to Washington and beat the Mystics by 68-57! I don’t think that this will happen tonight because of two factors: 1) Washington committed 23 turnovers in that game and they are now an improved team in this regard; 2) their best guard Ajavon didn’t play in that game and she is averaging 19.5ppg while shooting 54.2% FG for this season! I expect Washington to be a tough opponent tonight and so, I'll take them in here in a Triple Dime Play! Split the wager.
Chicago is coming from a nice win on the road against San Antonio where they exploited their huge size advantage down low to pound the Silver Stars. Sylvia Fowles was unstoppable by shooting 10-13FG and Chicago scored 40 points in the paint, with 52% of their points coming from this area!
“San Antonio don’t really have an answer to Fowles in the post. And while that’s true for practically every team on the planet when Big Syl’s in the mood, it’s especially true for the Silver Stars. She’s too big for Sophia Young, too quick for Adams, and just all-around too good for Appel. We haven’t seen enough of Ziomara Morrison yet to know what she can do, but she didn’t have much chance last night either.”
The only way the Stars would have been able to be competitive in that game would be with a good outside shooting performance, but by shooting 6-23 behind the line (just 26%), the game was a mismatch favoring Chicago.
On the other end, I like the mindset of Washington for tonight’s game. After being down by more than 20points against the WNBA champs Minnesota, they could easily fold but instead they fought back and they are going for this contest in a good mood. They struggled badly with turnovers in the first two games, but their head coach focused her energy in this department and after committing 23 and 32 turnovers in the first 2 games, Washington committed just 11 against the Lynx!
This will be the second game between these two teams this season and in the first one, Chicago went to Washington and beat the Mystics by 68-57! I don’t think that this will happen tonight because of two factors: 1) Washington committed 23 turnovers in that game and they are now an improved team in this regard; 2) their best guard Ajavon didn’t play in that game and she is averaging 19.5ppg while shooting 54.2% FG for this season! I expect Washington to be a tough opponent tonight and so, I'll take them in here in a Triple Dime Play! Split the wager.
Pick: 1 unit on 655 Washington Mystics HALFTIME ML @ +285 / 3.85 on The Greek
Pick: 4 units on 655 Washington Mystics (+11) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
WNBA - 557 Tulsa Shock @ 558 Seattle Storm
Projected line: 149 points
NOTE: No writeup for this contest
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 557/558 Over 144,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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