Friday, June 8, 2012

UEFA Euro 2012 Premium Play: Russia vs Czech Republic


Euro 2012 - Group A - Russia vs Czech Republic
***TOP PLAY***

I’ve watched Russia's last friendly match against Italy and they surely impressed me. They won by 3-0 in Italy with all the three goals being scored in the second half, but they missed several chances to score in the first half as well.

The strongest link of Russia is really their chemistry. In my opinion, only Spain has a better team chemistry than Russia and this can hardly be a surprise because of their starting lineup. They will likely use 6 of the 11 players from the same club (Zenit), while 4 of them play in CSKA Moscow, with the remaining player (Zhirkov) being a former CSKA player. So, this is more a traditional club than a national team! Last but not least, their national head coach Dick Advocaat is a former Zenit coach...

Russia plays with an attractive offensive style of football supported by two offensive minded wing backs. They form two triangle formations on the midfield and on the front and all the players from those formations rotate perfectly well. That’s why they are hard to stop and their team chemistry is a key word to describe this team.

They lack a real superstar player and their center back duo - Berezutski & Ignashevich are a bit slow as a unit. However, this Russian team is in my opinion way better than any other team in the group A.

On the other side, the Czech Republic is far away from the team they were in the last decade. They have problems to create chances to score because they lack creativity on the midfield. Only Thomas Rosicky is capable of creating something offensively and he is coming from an injury. He will reportedly play in this contest, but I doubt that he will be 100% fit as he never had a good stamina.

Their two wing back players are offensive minded and this is in my opinion will hurt the Czechs: these two players are constantly involved in long sprints from the sides and this will open some space behind them that will be explored by the Russians. Czech Republic has a great goalkeeper and a decent defensive back 4 formation, but it’s not enough against a team like Russia.  I expect Russia to score the first goal and then with the Czech Republic looking forward to tie the game, Russia will have multiple chances to score in transition. 
In the last hours there have been a major line movement favoring Czech Rep but I'm sticking with my play, in fact we are now able to get a PK Line so in case of a draw our play will be voided.

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on Russia PK @ -133 / 1.752 on Pinnacle

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