Euro 2012 - Quarter Final - Spain vs France
In my opinion, the lineups of both teams will make them lack creativity and become highly predictable in the front. Spain will get back to their first lineup of the tournament, with Fabregas being a false striker, playing instead of Torres in the front. With this lineup, they lose depth on the field, even though they will squash France in terms of ball possession. Still, they will lose a lot of verticality on their game and that was clear in their game against Italy, where they barely created chances with this lineup.
With Spain leading the competition in terms of ball possession with 63% (France is 3# by the way), Laurent Blanc is worrying too much with this factor by using three defensive players in the midfield at the same time, with Malouda being completely out of form right now. Benzema is playing too far from the area, while France will be limited to the individual actions of Ribery today. That's too little for the French side to be able to cause any problems to Spain's defense.
I expect a game with the ball being loads of time in the midfield and with a tremendous lack of speed. With these two lineups, I wouldn't be even surprised if this game ends with a 0-0 draw in regular time. Therefore, I'll take the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 2 Goals @ -101 / 1.99 on Pinnacle
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