Sunday, June 24, 2012

WNBA Premium Card 06/23


WNBA - 601 Chicago Sky @ 602 Minnesota Lynx

Projected line: 139 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

NOTE: EARLY GAME!!!

For this contest, we have the two best defensive teams in the league (CHI #1 with 93.10 defensive rates and MIN #2 with 93.98) going head to head. They are as well the two best rebounding teams by a far margin and they don’t allow points in the paint (MIN #1 & CHI #4). Chicago has the best defensive interior player in the league in Sylvia Fowles, while Minnesota has the best frontline unit. I expect both teams to do a good defensive job down low and limit the second chance points.

The biggest difference between these two teams is on the backcourt. Chicago has struggled with turnovers and they will be without their best backcourt player Prince for some weeks. Without a dominant outside force, Minnesota can focus their attention on Fowles and they will easily hold her back and that’s why Chicago is a 15 pts underdog in this contest. Both teams play in a pace below the average in the league, so this won’t be a fast track meat. Having said that, I expect Minnesota to win today behind a strong defensive performance. We don’t have much value on Minnesota, but the Under offers a great value in my opinion. Therefore, I'll take the Under in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 601/602 Under 146 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker



WNBA - 603 Los Angeles Sparks @ 604 Phoenix Mercury

Projected line: LA Sparks by 15 points

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 603 Los Angeles Sparks (-11) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker



WNBA - 605 Indiana Fever @ 606 Tulsa Shock

Projected line: 161 points

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 605/606 Over 156 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

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