Thursday, May 29, 2014

NBA Premium Card 05/26

NBA - 513 Indiana Pacers @ 514 Miami Heat

Play #1

I’m playing once again w/ the Under in this series after losing both sides & total plays in the last game. The Pacers did a great job in the first half especially on the defensive end while they used David West and Roy Hibbert down low on offense.

Obviously, the storyline of that game was the Heat’s tremendous second half in which they hit almost 60% of their shots. MIA’s small ball crushed the Pacers @ 4th quarter… I really don’t think that IND’s coach Vogel will put David West on Ray Allen once again… Also, George Hill played only 8 minutes in the second half due to foul trouble w/ the same thing happening w/ Paul George. These two players are really key defensive players and naturally, Norris Cole & Ray Allen enjoyed some good looks.

Note also that both teams were super sharp in contested shots according to NBA.com: MIA w/17-33 FG 52% FG & IND w/ 23-42 FG for 55% from the field! I expect some regression from both teams in here while IND will be more prepared for MIA’s small ball @ 4th quarter. My fair line in here is 180 points and so, we have the proper edge to make a play w/ UNDER.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 513/514 Under 183 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada

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