Tuesday, May 13, 2014

NBA Free Premium Play 05/13: Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers

  
Washington  at Indiana 
NBA - 733 Washington Wizards @ 734 Indiana Pacers

Play #1 & #2


We are dealing w/ a “different” Pacers’ team now that Roy Hibbert is playing major minutes and more importantly, he’s confident and helping the team in both ends of the floor.

IND’s offense is still having some natural problems to hit their outside shots and generate good looks off good ball movement. They had the nice mark of 10-22 (45.5%) from 3pts but note that Paul George went 7-10 3pts vs. 3-12 from the rest of the team.

However, the biggest impact has been made in defense & rebounding!
After dominating the glass in the first 3 games of the series w/ 61%, 56.7% & 55.3% reb/rate%, the Wizards were outrebounded in the last game as IND had 52.6% reb/rate%! Also, despite scoring 44 points in the paint in G4, the Wizards went only 17-33 FG (just 51.5%!)! Hibbert’s presence down low has been huge for IND’s perimeter players… after hitting 10-16 from 3pts in G1, the Wizards are hitting 14-52 – 27% clip in L3 games!

The Wizards were able to score 55 points in the first half of G4 mostly because of the “work” of their veteran 2nd unit w/ Miller, Gooden and Harrington. After Washington shot 54 percent in the first half, helped by 18 fast break points, they shot just 35 percent in the second half with zero fast break points. The problem is that the Wizards just won’t defeat the Pacers by giving big minutes to those players!

WAS’s starting lineup is clearly lacking the proper confidence on the offensive end vs. IND’s elite defense. John Wall is hesitating while Nene + Gortat have been clearly outplayed by West + Hibbert!

I expect the Pacers to close out the series tonight via their defensive dominance.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 733/734 Under 181.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 734 Indiana Pacers (-5.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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