Play #1
We’ve lost w/ the Under in the last game of this series, but I’m back again playing the Under in tonight’s contest as the circumstances really didn’t change for this game.
As usual, last game was a slow paced affair w/ Pace Factor of 82.7 and obviously, both teams were incredible efficient on the offensive end! I’ve watched once again the game today and I couldn’t stop noticed the incredible number of times that both teams hit some tough contested jumpers… I’ve just checked NBA.com/stats… MIA went 23-37 FG (62.2%!!!) in contested shots and even the Nets shot 27-59 FG (45.8%!) in those shots!
Naturally, we can expect a bit of regression from both teams for tonight and therefore, I’m playing the Under in here as my Single Dime Play!
As usual, last game was a slow paced affair w/ Pace Factor of 82.7 and obviously, both teams were incredible efficient on the offensive end! I’ve watched once again the game today and I couldn’t stop noticed the incredible number of times that both teams hit some tough contested jumpers… I’ve just checked NBA.com/stats… MIA went 23-37 FG (62.2%!!!) in contested shots and even the Nets shot 27-59 FG (45.8%!) in those shots!
Naturally, we can expect a bit of regression from both teams for tonight and therefore, I’m playing the Under in here as my Single Dime Play!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 737/738 Under 189 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 739 Portland Trail Blazers @ 740 San Antonio Spurs
Play #2
Play #2
2 important quotes from POR players after G4 that is important for tonight’s contest:
"We got the tempo we wanted, we wanted to get out and run, easy buckets," Barton told Blazersedge. "That all starts with defense. If we lock up, get stops, we can go out there before their defense is set. They're real good when they're set in the half court, it's tough, they make you keep moving the ball and keep working. They've got good help defense and they stay true to their principles. We wanted to get out and push a little bit. Make them work and keep them on their toes."
"We needed to run at them more," Aldridge said, after scoring 19 points (on 8-for-16 shooting) and grabbing four rebounds. "[In the first three games], we let them run at us and walk back. I thought tonight we made them get back and we ran at them."
Yes… the game plan of the Blazers to defeat the Spurs in this series has been to simply outgun them, which is super weird for me because w/ their superior depth, the Spurs are more equipped to “run and gun” than the Blazers.
The first 2 contests of this series were all fast paced affairs but the last two were even faster, which is a valid confirmation for this POR’s game plan.
The Spurs didn’t look ready to compete in the last game but really, according to NBA.com’s SportVU data, 49 of San Antonio’s 88 field-goal attempts were uncontested (no defender within four feet), and it managed to knock down only 16 of them! I just don’t think that the Spurs will miss so many “good looks” tonight playing at home.
Now that the Blazers have won one game and more importantly, they were able to competitive in the first half, I expect them to be more confident on their abilities.
With both teams wanting to push the pace for different reasons, we can expect this contest to be shootout as my fair line for this contest is 212/124 points!
"We got the tempo we wanted, we wanted to get out and run, easy buckets," Barton told Blazersedge. "That all starts with defense. If we lock up, get stops, we can go out there before their defense is set. They're real good when they're set in the half court, it's tough, they make you keep moving the ball and keep working. They've got good help defense and they stay true to their principles. We wanted to get out and push a little bit. Make them work and keep them on their toes."
"We needed to run at them more," Aldridge said, after scoring 19 points (on 8-for-16 shooting) and grabbing four rebounds. "[In the first three games], we let them run at us and walk back. I thought tonight we made them get back and we ran at them."
Yes… the game plan of the Blazers to defeat the Spurs in this series has been to simply outgun them, which is super weird for me because w/ their superior depth, the Spurs are more equipped to “run and gun” than the Blazers.
The first 2 contests of this series were all fast paced affairs but the last two were even faster, which is a valid confirmation for this POR’s game plan.
The Spurs didn’t look ready to compete in the last game but really, according to NBA.com’s SportVU data, 49 of San Antonio’s 88 field-goal attempts were uncontested (no defender within four feet), and it managed to knock down only 16 of them! I just don’t think that the Spurs will miss so many “good looks” tonight playing at home.
Now that the Blazers have won one game and more importantly, they were able to competitive in the first half, I expect them to be more confident on their abilities.
With both teams wanting to push the pace for different reasons, we can expect this contest to be shootout as my fair line for this contest is 212/124 points!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 739/740 Over 209 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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