Friday, April 25, 2014

NBA Premium Play 04/24

NBA - 737 Los Angeles Clippers @ 738 Golden State Warriors

Play #3

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

I’m not overreacting to the fact that LAC won G2 by 40 points and so, “they will win all the next games easily”.

Not only LAC is clearly the best team in this matchup but more importantly, GSW’s defense simply doesn’t have any solution to slow down LAC’s best player Blake Griffin.

I took LAC-7 in the first game of the series and the Warriors won the game primarily because Griffin battled foul trouble and played only 19 minutes. However, in those 19 minutes, the Clippers outscored the Warriors by 9 points!  In the last game, Griffin scored 35 points in just 30 minutes of action w/ 13-17 FG & 9-10 FT!

GSW’s without A. Bogut doesn’t have a chance vs. LAC’s frontcourt… Jermaine O’Neal is just too old and slow; D. Lee doesn’t look like @100% and he “can’t” defend anyway; Speights doesn’t have the “proper” basketball IQ to rotate defensively and, good luck for D. Green if you are guarding B. Griffin down low!

With Lee not being close to 100%, there is too much pressure for Curry and Klay Thompson to perform on the offensive end, and Doc Rivers pressured both players quite well in G2! LAC’s backcourt w/ Redick and Jamal Crawford healthy is just too much for LAC’s.

Obviously, I don’t expect DeAndre Jordan to hit 7-8 from FT line or Granger, Turkoglu and/or Big Baby to be ultra efficient and shot 13-20 from the field! Surely, this won’t happen for tonight! However, I do expect the Clippers to win this contest as GSW without Bogut can’t defend LAC’s frontcourt and GSW’s offense remains just too predictable for this level @ playoffs.

I’m taking the Clippers tonight as my Triple Dime Play!

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 737 Los Angeles Clippers ML @ -125 / 1.80 on Betonline

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