NBA Premium Card 04/27

NBA - 753 Chicago Bulls @ 754 Washington Wizards

Play #1

I was about to pass in this contest but the fact that Nene Hilario was suspended for this contest changes it all! CHI’s defensive game plan for this series has been predicated in slowing down John Wall & Bradley Beal, and Nene took advantage of it and has been torching the Bulls’ defense in multiple ways. Without him, the Bulls defense will be even more focused on WAS’s backcourt.

On the other side, the Wizards defense has been doing a solid job in protecting the rim in this series. M. Dunleavy was the Bulls’ MVP in G3 w/ 12-19 FG, 8-10 3pts and 3-4 FT’s for 35 points but still, CHI struggled w/ outside shots apart of him. Because all 3 games went OVER, we are dealing w/ 183.5 points while my fair line adjusted to Nene’s absence is 180 points.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 753/754 Under 183.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

NBA - 755 Los Angeles Clippers @ 756 Golden State Warriors

Play #2

In my Triple Dime Play w/ LAC in G3 I’ve said:

“Not only LAC is clearly the best team in this matchup but more importantly, GSW’s defense simply doesn’t have any solution to slow down LAC’s best player Blake Griffin.

I took LAC-7 in the first game of the series and the Warriors won the game primarily because Griffin battled foul trouble and played only 19 minutes. However, in those 19 minutes, the Clippers outscored the Warriors by 9 points!  In the last game, Griffin scored 35 points in just 30 minutes of action w/ 13-17 FG & 9-10 FT!

GSW’s without A. Bogut doesn’t have a chance vs. LAC’s frontcourt… Jermaine O’Neal is just too old and slow; D. Lee doesn’t look like @100% and he “can’t” defend anyway; Speights doesn’t have the “proper” basketball IQ to rotate defensively and, good luck for D. Green if you are guarding B. Griffin down low!”

Guess what…Blake Griffin dominated the game once again w/ 15-25 FG for 32 points! This won’t change in this series regardless what Mark Jackson tries to do because GSW’s frontcourt without Bogut doesn’t have any solution.

LAC escaped w/ a 2-pts win but actually they clearly dominated the game especially @ second half. Chris Paul apparently played with fever and DeAndre Jordan was involved in foul trouble and still the Clippers won the game! LAC’s defense is putting a tremendous pressure on Curry and Thompson and this won’t change today.

We are dealing w/ two teams going in opposite directions and I really think that the Clippers will win once again on the road today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 755 Los Angeles Clippers (-2) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NBA - 759 Houston Rockets @ 760 Portland Trail Blazers

Play #3

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

After taking the OVER in every single game of this series, I feel that today’s game will be the first low scoring game of the series as I really like the spot around this particular game - teams coming from OT and playing w/ just one day off to rest!

Despite the high scoring outcome, last game’s pace factor was way different vs. G1 & G2:

G1 – 96.8
G2 – 97.5
G3 – 87.8

G3 went to OT and both teams are playing w/ tight rotations so fatigue will be a real factor in this contest in my opinion!

Regarding the matchups… HOU found a way to slow down a bit LMA using Asik on 1*1 w/ some help from D. Howard while the Rockets showed some great offensive moments early in G3, but as long as the game went on, they returned to ISO ball w/ James Harden vs. the world. The Rocket’s late execution is really a problem for them!

My fair line for this contest is 2060 points and so, we have the proper edge to release a Triple Dime Play w/ UNDER.

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 759/760 Under 215 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker