Thursday, April 24, 2014

NBA Premium Card 04/23

NBA - 729 Dallas Mavericks @ 730 San Antonio Spurs

Play #2

The first game of the series was a slow paced affair.

Pace Factor of H2H’s Regular season games:

99.4, 90.2, 93.4 & 91.2 vs. 87.6 from Game 1! You can see the difference!

It was deliberated from the Mavs as they don’t want the Spurs to score in transition at all! SAS scored only 13 fast break points in G1 after scoring 35 in the last H2H! DAL defense made some key adjustments especially w/ switching on PNR’s and more stuff…I expect SAS to adjust for tonight but still, this kind of stuff prevents SAS to play at their best offensively!

On the other end, DAL offense was well defended by SAS and this is going to be a trend for this series because R. Carlisle by giving more minutes to Harris and Crowder instead of Monta Ellis and Calderon = obviously will have big effect on offense!

My fair line for this contest is 198 points and so, we have the proper edge to release a play w/ Under.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 727/728 Under 201 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline



NBA - 731 Portland Trail Blazers @ 732 Houston Rockets

Play #3

We needed the OT to win w/ Over in the first game of the series but really, the game had a tremendous good tempo and both teams missed several wide open shots! Both teams didn’t even reached the 45% FG mark! LaMarcus Aldridge will keep dominating the Rockets as HOU don’t have a defensive answer to stop him while on the other I expect Harden to bounce back tonight and therefore, I’m taking the Over in here!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 731/732 Over 214.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline




NBA - 727 Charlotte Bobcats @ 728 Miami Heat

Play #1

The first contest ended up w/ 187 points and I think that for tonight’s game it will be tough for both teams to be more efficient on the offensive end, and therefore I’m taking the Under in here.

The Bobcats’ offense really needs Al Jefferson to dominate down low, but unfortunately he is banged up, and I don’t think he is capable of such task for the entire game. If he struggles tonight, CHA is going to ride more Kemba Walker but MIA’s defense is so good vs. PNR’s that CHA’s offense will have some big problems for tonight.

On the other end, CHA really did a good job in limiting MIA’s transition plays in G1. They held the Heat to just 6 fast break points and tonight’s game plan will be the same = slow down things! CHA did a good job defensively vs. MIA’s starting lineup! Just look for the first minutes of the first and third quarter! The problem was when James Jones entered the game to spread the floor for the Heat…Jones was out of the rotation and the Heat surprised the Bobcats in G1. I expect CHA’s to be more prepared for tonight and so, I expect them to be a bit better defensively for tonight as well.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 727/728 Under 188 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada

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