NBA Free Premium Plays 04/20: Dallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs

Dallas  at San Antonio

NBA - 709 Dallas Mavericks @ 710 San Antonio Spurs Play #2 & #3 There is no question that the Spurs are the better team in here and will advance to the second round unless something “strange” happens. However, for the first game of the series, I really think that R. Carlisle will surprise the Spurs w/ a proper game plan that will make the Mavs competitive today. Plain and simple, the Mavs can’t run w/ the Spurs! In the last H2H game between these two teams, the Spurs won the game by 9 points primarily because they scored 35 fast break points! It was the Spurs’ highest mark of the regular season, so it was a clear sign for DAL and Carlisle knows that… In the last games of the regular season, Carlisle made some interesting changes to their lineup that really worked well for them. He decided to not give big minutes to Jose Calderon and Samuel Dalembert because their lack of speed was hurting their defense… that’s why both players logged only 17 & 14 minutes vs. PHX and even against MEM in the last game (OT game!), they played only 27 and 11 minutes! With both slow footed players on the court and playing major minutes, SAS will just kill the Mavs’ via PNR’s w/ Parker and their “bigs”… that’s one of the biggest reasons why the Spurs swept DAL 4-0 in the regular season! I expect DAL to give more minutes to D. Harris and B. Wright in this series and this can be a factor for today’s game – surprise factor working favorably for DAL! DAL’s improved defense and different rotation will be their “best weapon” vs. SAS especially in this first contest and that’s why I’m taking DAL & Under in here as my Single Dime Plays! Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 709/710 Under 206 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 709 Dallas Mavericks (+9.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker