NBA Free Premium Play 04/05: Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons

Boston  at Detroit

NBA - 807 Boston Celtics @ 808 Detroit Pistons Play #2 I understand that it seems a bit excessive to release a play w/ DET being favored by 6 points vs. anyone in the NBA, but in my opinion, we are getting some value as my fair line is actually DET-9/-10. I had a small lean w/ DET last night vs. BKN as I expected them to completely dominate the glass vs. undersized Nets’ team, and indeed they crushed them by having an impressive 68.6% reb/rate% & 19-2 edge in offensive boards. The problem was that DET’s awful perimeter defense got torched by the Nets w/ 15-31 3pts. The Nets’ Power Forwards’ Pierce & Teletovic completely killed them by hitting 9-16 from 3pts, while exposing DET’s frontcourt pair Drummond & Monroe on the defensive end. The good news for today is that they will face a Celtics’ team playing without R. Rondo & A. Bradley. Unlike BKN, BOS is really struggling shooting from long range! In L5 games, they had a dismal 23% mark behind the line – worst mark in the league! Without Rondo, the Celtics’ offense doesn’t have the same “flow” and they don’t have shooters as well. It looks like. K. Humphries is OUT as well for tonight and most likely, BOS will start w/ Bass & Sullinger… two undersized frontcourt players that will have some problems vs. DET’s frontcourt size! While DET’s bad perimeter defense won’t be exposed by BOS, I expect DET to control the glass and score some easy points in transition vs. a Celtics team that suddenly stopped in getting back to the defense (L3 games they have allowed 26, 21 and 10 fast break points!). Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 808 Detroit Pistons (-6) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker