Saturday, April 5, 2014

NBA Free Premium Play 04/05: Brooklyn Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers

Brooklyn  at Philadelphia 
NBA - 805 Brooklyn Nets @ 806 Philadelphia 76ers

Play #4


My fair line for this contest is 212 points and actually, this play was close to be a Top Play.

The Nets will play tonight their 4th game in 5days but all the previous 3 contests were @NY area and they are coming from an easy win vs. DET where 12 BKN players logged some time, so this isn’t a dreadful “physical” spot for them!

The good news is that BKN’ offense is really killing vs. bad defensive teams. 

They tend to play @ slow pace but they can push the pace vs. up tempo teams like PHI. Note that they scored 20 fast break points vs. PHX, 14 vs. DAL, 19 vs. MIN or 15 vs. HOU! In this potential run and gun game vs. bad PHI defense, I expect them to easily score +108 points… In the first 3 H2H’s games, they scored 130, 120 and 108 points!

Obviously, the key question for this contest is related w/ PHI offense vs. BKN defense.

First of all, we are dealing w/ a confident PHI team that has won 2 of their L4 games. BKN isn’t a great shot blocking team, so I expect 76ers to have some decent points at the rim. Also, BKN’s backcourt is slow footed and also, we can expect PHI to score some easy transition points and that’s why I’m taking the Over in here!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 805/806 Over 208 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

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