NBA Premium Card 04/13

NBA - 701 Chicago Bulls @ 702 New York Knicks

Play #2 & #5

***ADDED PLAY***

Unfortunately for us, the Pacers have defeated the Thunder today and basically they locked up the #1 seed on the East. They “just” need to beat the Magic on the final day of the regular season to have the home court edge throughout the playoffs – their primary goal for the season.

So, what in the hell I’m talking about this in here?!

With the Pacers being the #1 seed, the Bulls can “choose” between facing the Pacers or the Heat @ 2nd round and between us, the answer is pretty easy to guess, right? They just “need” to let TOR be the #3 seed…

For this contest, I expect the Bulls to be more “relaxed”… NYK is eliminated from the Playoffs but I expect them to be fired up @ home vs. CHI.

I don’t need to say many words about NYK’s defense…. CHI will be quite decent offensively as they will explore Noah’s superior passing ability on the post. However, I also expect the Knicks to be decent now that Carmelo Anthony looks “healthy”. NOTE: Amare Stoudemire is playing extremely well as of late (only on the offensive end obviously…)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701/702 Over 185 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 702 New York Knicks (+3.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NBA - 711 Minnesota Timberwolves @ 712 Sacramento Kings

Play #3

***UPGRADED INTO A DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

This line is just too low! We are dealing with two losing teams that can play @ some serious fast pace and being this contest a potential run and gun style, 203.5/204 points is just too short.

We have K. Love questionable for tonight but even without him, the dynamic of this contest won’t change!

Already without him vs. HOU in the last game…MIN was focused in attacking HOU in transition and they really crushed them w/ 39 fast break points! Almost 25% of vol% of their offensive plays were transition plays!

It helped the fact that they faced a HOU defense that doesn’t care of defending lately but the good news is that the same thing can be said about SAC! SAC defense is ranked #28 in transition defense! NOTE: the Kings allowed 25 fast break points yesterday @LAC!

On the other end, I expect SAC offense to produce @ nice rate… SAC’s best offensive players Gay + Cousins will have some extremely favorable individual matchups vs. R. Hummel & K. Love/D. Cunningham and so, SAC’s will also score points quite easily.

The first 3 H2H’s games between these two teams were all fast paced affairs…

This play would be a Triple Dime Play if K. Love was probable to play...because most likely we'll have confirmation pretty late, I just can't take such big risk and so, I'm taking the Over as my Double Dime Play

Pick: 3 units on 711/712 Over 203.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Pick: 1 unit on 711/712 Over 203.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NBA - 713 Memphis Grizzlies @ 714 Los Angeles Lakers

Play #4

Classic game of losing team vs. playoff bound team that just can’t afford to lose this contest! Two different styles are going to face each other but IMO, facing the 76ers in the last game was a great warm-up for the Grizzlies tonight…

I really liked the fact that in that game, MEM didn’t care to attempt three pointers…they were focused in pounding the awful PHI interior defense and indeed they crushed them w/ 60 points in the paint! Actually, they scored the same number of pts in the paint vs. MIA and obviously, I expect the same mindset from them tonight…

LAL have only in J. Hill a capable frontcourt player so, good luck in stopping MEM’s big men…

MEM’s deep bench will help us as well… their second unit scored 65 points vs. PHI!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 713 Memphis Grizzlies (-12) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes