NBA Free Premium Play 04/29: Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards

Washington  at Chicago

NBA - 741 Chicago Bulls @ 742 Washington Wizards Play #1 For this contest I’m riding w/ the Under once again after losing every single Under play in this series. The pace factor in the first 4 games of the series have been pretty consistent – all 4 games were slow paced affairs played almost exclusively @ half court. We can say that the Bulls are having some (expected) problems to score vs. WAS so far. Their perimeter shooters are really struggling (except the Mike Dunleavy G3 game) while the Wizards are doing a solid job in protecting the rim (39.5 pts paint per game allowed in this series) especially in slowing down Noah’s passing abilities. In the last game, Gibson went off w/ 13-16 FG for 32 points but note that without Nene on the court and w/ Booker being the starter, WAS had Gooden & Al Harrington @ frontcourt backups, so we can understand that Gibson had favorable matchups. For this particular matchup, Nene will be back after being suspended and actually, IMO, this can be good news for the Bulls’ defense! After struggling in the first 2 contests to figure out defending Nene, the Bulls did a great job for G3 and held him to 5-15 FG & 5 TO’s in just 25 minutes of action (he got ejected). With Nene on the court, WAS is more a post-centric team and this fits better for CHI’s defense. The Bulls’ are naturally desperate for this contest facing elimination and their only way to defeat the Wizards tonight is via their defense. My fair line for this contest 180, so we have the proper value for a Single Dime Play w/ Under. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 507/508 Under 184 @ -105 / 1.95 on Bovada