Wednesday, April 23, 2014

NBA Premium Card 04/22

NBA - 723 Brooklyn Nets @ 724 Toronto Raptors

Play #2 & #3

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

We had a play w/ Under in the first game of this series and I also had a small lean w/ TOR to win the series as well. I didn’t take the Raptors because “experience” could be an extra factor favoring the Nets, and after watching the game I have no doubts that it was really a huge factor for them!

The Nets scored 94 points but they missed several good looks from the outside completely wide open! They finished the game w/ 4-24 3pts as their second unit went 0-12 from 3pts land! I expect them to be decent offensively tonight…

However, the biggest change will be @TOR side…

TOR was one of the best passing teams in the league during the regular season as their ball movement is really fun to watch & they were also a Top 10 team not turning the ball over! The problem was that TOR committed 19 TO’s in game 1 and the ball didn’t move as usual… D. DeRozan was simply horrible in every facet of the game as not only he shot just 3-13 FG but also, he finished the game w/ a poor 1/3 A/TO ratio!

Again…in my opinion, experience was a huge factor in that game and those young players have “learn the lesson” in G1! I expect the Raptors to be more aggressive tonight, push the pace and attack the Nets in transition – their best moment @G1 was when they attacked in transition especially via G. Vasquez!

W/ the Nets being more efficient from the outside and w/ TOR being better all around, my fair line for this contest is 195/196 points and so I’m taking the Over in here as my Double Dime Play! I’m also taking the Raptors tonight as they will adjust properly and the Nets w/ the home court edge will relax a bit as they were a great home team in the last months.

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 723/724 Over 188 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 724 Toronto Raptors (-4.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline



NBA - 725 Washington Wizards @ 726 Chicago Bulls

Play #4 & #5

The Wizards were better prepared for the first game of this series in both ends of the floor! For tonight, I expect a proper adjustment from CHI that will be especially noticed on the defensive end and therefore, I’m taking CHI + Under in here!

Nene Hilario! Nene not only started for WAS but he was really the X factor for them on the offensive end. He finished the game w/ 11-17 FG for 24 points and 3 assists and it looked to me that the Bulls didn’t expect such a huge impact from him as they were focused in shutting down Wall & Beal. Obviously, CHI simply can’t shift their entire focus for tonight’s contest but I expect them to make some changes…

On the other end, I also think that CHI did a poor job in moving the ball as they finished the game w/ just 13 assists but they were also surprised by WAS’s game plan. It is hard to believe but actually WAS’s Coach R. Wittman outcoached CHI’s Tom Thibodeau in G1… I’m looking Thibodeau to “bounce back” tonight and I expect the Bulls to win this contest primarily by their defense.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play)  on 725/726 Under 181 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 726 Chicago Bulls (-5.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline


NBA - 721 Atlanta Hawks @ 722 Indiana Pacers

Play #1

The Pacers are in serious problems after losing the first game of the series as they showed once again the same bad stuff exhibited in the last 2 months.

Their offense has been “streaky” all season long and being tonight’s contest a high pressure game for them, I don’t think that they will be “relaxed” and ready to perform @ high level! Note that in the first game, their perimeter actually was quite decent as they hit 9-21 from 3pts (43%!)! G. Hill, L. Stephenson, P. George, E. Turner and C. Watson combined to hit 25-54 FG – a nice 46.3% FG mark!

However, their biggest problem was on the defensive end and this is something that IND is going to be focused for tonight’s game! ATL is a bad matchup for them because their “bigs” are good outside shooters but still, IND’s defense (especially their perimeter guys) did a terrible job and allowed Jeff Teague to destroy them w/ 9-19 FG + 9-10 FT’s! Note that ATL scored only 28 points in the paint & had only 13 assists! A more focused and aggressive IND’s defense should be able to shut down ATL’s defense and that’s why I’m taking the Under in here as my Single Dime Play!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 721/722 Under 187 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

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