Friday, April 18, 2014

NBA Free Premium Play 04/19: Brooklyn Nets @ Toronto Raptors

Brooklyn  at Toronto 
NBA - 701 Brooklyn Nets @ 702 Toronto Raptors

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This should be a fun series to watch w/ plenty of tight games and (hopefully) w/ game 6 and/or game 7 on the horizon.

For the first contest I really think that we have some edge w/ the Under as my fair line in here is 190/192 points.

Note that in this series, we will deal w/ half court battle. In the regular season, TOR was ranked #23 in Pace Factor & BKN = ranked #25! 3 of the 4 H2H’s games between these two teams were slow paced contests, so we can expect this trend to keep going in this series.

BKN’s offense will have some problems vs. TOR’s underrated defense! TOR is a top 10 team in not committing TO’s (ranked #9 in the regular season) and this could be a problem for a BKN defense that is great in creating TO’s and convert those TO’s w/ a pretty decent transition offense. Also, Amir Johnson & Patrick Patterson are quick and mobile “bigs”, so BKN’s undersized lineup won’t have the usual edge that they are used to have vs. traditional frontcourt units.

On the other side, this Raptors team doesn’t have much experience @ playoffs, and this first contest could be a tough mental spot for them. Note that we are dealing w/ a team that takes a ton of mid range jumpers…

BKN will have S. Livingston back and also K. Garnett could play some significant minutes as well – an obvious boost for their defense!

The correlation of all these factors = Single Dime Play w/ Under!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701/702 Under 194 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

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