Friday, December 16, 2011

Detroit Pistons NBA Season Preview 2011-12

DETROIT PISTONS


Advanced Stats:

PACE: #28 91.7
OFFENSE: #15 104.6
DEFENSE: #29 109.9

The best word to describe the Pistons season last year is circus. From players on strike to low effort performances, the Pistons season was so bad that coach John Kuester won’t be coaching a NBA team in the near future for sure. Even though Detroit has been a powerhouse team in the past decade, they have combined a total of 107 losses over the past two seasons! 


Since he traded for Rasheed Wallace, a trade that gave the Pistons a NBA title, GM Joe Dumars have been committing errors after errors and it was even surprising to me that the new owners of the team gave him a vote of confidence for the new season. Last season, the Pistons had a completely inadequate roster to begin with. They were depending too much on the frontcourt on the 36 years old forward Ben Wallace and they had so many backcourt players that with just one ball on the court that the disastrous outcome was never in doubt since the first day of the season. Having Hamilton, Tracy McGrady and Gordon on the roster fighting for the same position was an error and the Rip soap was a distraction the whole season.

Offensively, the Pistons were an average team that played on a really slow pace. It would have been a complete miracle to expect the Pistons to be a top offensive team because they lacked a real interior threat, so the biggest reasons for the Pistons disarray was obviously related with their defense. It was just too easy to score against them last season! They were dead last on the league in eFG% allowed with 52.64%! They also ranked 23rd in defensive rebounding percentage and 18th in opponent free throw rate! The fact that they ended up being the 16th team in terms of points per game allowed with 100.6 ppg is easily explained by the fact that the Pistons played the whole season in an ultra slow tempo, so there were fewer opportunities for their opponents to score against them.

Despite all the struggles and feuds with the former coach, somehow Rodney Stuckey managed to improve his numbers when compared to the previous season. He improved his eFG% from 41.3% to 45.5% and he even enjoyed a career high mark of 5.2 assists per game, all of this in fewer 3 minutes per game! Now behind the new coach Lawrence Frank, Stuckey will hopefully enjoy more stability and be more effective. The doubt about him being a PG or a SG still remains and I believe the Pistons share my doubts, considering they drafted PG Brandon Knight, with the 8th pick. Ideally, Knight has the potential to be a player like Billups, so I wouldn’t be surprised if Frank mixes it up and play both Stuckey and Knight at the same time. Now that Hamilton and McGrady are gone, finally Ben Gordon will have some continued minutes on the floor. Gordon will enter his 3rd season in Detroit and for a guy that is earning almost $12million per season while playing only 26/27 minutes per game shows the incompetence of Dumars as the Pistons GM in the last few years…

But less can be more and the Pistons have now a more organized backcourt when the assignments should be clear. However, the potential problems reside on the frontcourt. The Pistons decided to keep Prince and offered him an extension. After an injury-riddled season in 09-10, Prince showed his natural durability last season by playing 78 games. His stats are still solid across the board, but his body language has been poor and he hasn’t been the same “Prince” for a long time now. Nevertheless, giving him to a four-year, $27million contact was a good decision for the organization. After being a pleasant surprise in 09-10, Jonas Jerebko missed the entire season last year, but apparently he’s ready to go this season. He is a versatile player who can do what a young Prince did for the Pistons: guard multiple positions, be a good defensive player, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he plays large at the power forward position because Ben Wallace will really need some help. Austin Daye and Charlie Villanueva are other candidates to help Big Ben, but like Jerebko, we are talking about lightweight players for this position.

The only good thing for the Pistons frontcourt on last year’s pathetic season was Greg Monroe. In fact, Monroe is now the face of the franchise after his great rookie season. Monroe started the season slow, but when he received big minutes and a spot in the starting lineup, he excelled with 12.0 ppg while shooting 59.1% FG! He also grabbed 9.1 rebounds per game, while logging for only 32.7 mpg. With more touches in the ball, Monroe is a potential 15-10 guy this season without any doubt.

Lawrance Frank comes to Detroit with a defensive reputation and he really needs to do some magic on the team. I don’t expect the Pistons to be as terrible as in the past two seasons, but with an inexperienced roster and with so few days to work before the season starts, Frank’s task is really huge. I’ll be surprised if the Pistons reach the playoffs with a lower seed because there are more talented Eastern teams to take those spots. However, a potential high pick in next year’s draft being used on a frontcourt player will change the Pistons organization for the future.

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