Monday, December 10, 2012

NBA Premium Play 12/09: Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets


NBA - 803 Milwaukee Bucks @ 804 Brooklyn Nets

Projected Line: 190 points | Brooklyn by 9 points

The Nets are 0-3 over their last three games, so they will be fired up today. They will have a tremendous physical edge on the backcourt, with Gerald Wallace, Joe Johnson and Deron Williams going head-to-head with Marquis Daniels, Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings. The Bucks will struggle offensively on half court sets, as Brooklyn defends very well pick and rolls and the Nets' size edge will stop Jennings and Ellis from having a good game, while Milwaukee's frontcourt isn't skilled enough to punish the Nets down low.

Brooklyn will have an offensive edge on their backcourt, while the Bucks, with Beno Udrih and Mike Dunleavy banged up, will struggle on the second unit, especially if they were down on the score. I expect a low scoring game in here, with Brooklyn controlling the game, while shutting down the Bucks' offense, therefore I'll be taking both Brooklyn and the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 803/804 Under 193 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 804 Brooklyn Nets (-6) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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