NBA - 715 Sacramento Kings @ 716 Milwaukee Bucks
Projected Line: 202 points
Milwaukee will have some injury problems once again, as Beno Udrih is still out, while both Mike Dunleavy and Ekpe Udoh are questionable for tonight's game. This means that Milwaukee doesn't have good outside shooters, even though they shoot a lot from the outside.
They will face a Kings team that can defend well on the outside by being #9 with just 36.2% FG allowed from 16-23 feet. However, their defensive problem is on the inside, where they have one of the worst rim defenses in the league by being just #28 with 66.9% FG allowed. Milwaukee doesn't have a great frontcourt to pound the Kings down low, but Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis should be able to do some damage tonight. Milwaukee's offense is based on pick and roll ball handler plays, spot ups and transitions and the Kings' defense is #30 on pick and roll ball handler defense, #9 on spot up defense and #16 on transition defense. Therefore, I expect Milwaukee to be able to pound Sacramento on the pick and rolls tonight.
On the other side, Sacramento is coming from a horrible game at Dallas, where the Mavericks shot 6-10 FG on pcik and roll ball handlers, 8-17 FG on spot ups and 10-15 FG on transitions, exactly the three areas where Milwaukee has a bigger volume on their offense! Tyreke Evans will be back tonight and he will have an edge on offense over the Bucks' poor defensive backcourt, therefore I expect this game to be a high scoring one with both teams having good offensive games. I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 715/716 Over 198 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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