Sunday, December 9, 2012

NBA Free Premium Play 12/09: Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder

  
Indiana  at Oklahoma City 
NBA - 805 Indiana Pacers @ 806 Oklahoma City Thunder

Projected Line: 192 points


Oklahoma City is coming from an easy win over the Lakers, where Russell Westbrook dominated against the slow Lakers. The Thunder continues to shoot very well from the outside with 8-21 FG from 16-23 feet and 9-17 3pts! Oklahoma City has been deadly on transitions and spot up shooting with excellent 3pts% numbers. Indiana is #1 on transition defense and spot up defense, so this will be an interesting matchup tonight.

Indiana's offense is dependent from what their frontcourt can do, as they have a 18% volume on post up plays, even though Roy Hibbert has been struggling offensively. They will face the Thunder who are #3 on post up defense! Serge Ibaka and Kendrick Perkins will be a tough matchup for David West and Roy Hibbert. With their frontcourt struggling on offense, Indiana will have a lot of problems in creating any kind of offense tonight.

I expect both teams to struggle on offense, as they will face very tough defensive opponents tonight, so I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 805/806 Under 196,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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