Tuesday, December 11, 2012

NBA Premium Play 12/10: Sacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks


NBA - 709 Sacramento Kings @ 710 Dallas Mavericks

Projected Line: Dallas by 3 points

Dallas had a nice win at Houston, in a very weird game. It's only necessary to say that the lineup that solved the game for the Mavericks in the 4th quarter was the following: Darren Collison, Derek Fisher, O.J. Mayo, Vince Carter, and Brandan Wright, with Dahntay Jones subbing offense/defense for Carter if the possession allowed it. O.J. Mayo had a monster game and they took advantage of Houston's tired legs down the stretch to win the game, after being down by 9 points during the fourth quarter. Even though they got a good road win, Dallas is still lacking identity. For tonight, both Shawn Marion and Chris Kaman are questionable and they really need to score in transition and have super games from Mayo to have any kind of decent production on offense.

On the other side, Sacramento has been playing better lately and the key of that has been some lineup changes introduced by coach Keith Smart, especially with veterans Francisco Garcia and John Salmons entering the lineup, reducing the high number of errors that the young players were doing. This has been allowing DeMarcus Cousins to be dominant and tonight, I expect both Cousins and Thompson to dominate the boards against the poor rebounding team of the Mavericks, especially if Shawn Marion doesn't play. Sacramento has been a decent team in defending transition plays (#15) and with them being confident right now and dominating the boards, I expect them to be very competitive tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking Sacramento in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 709 Sacramento Kings (+6) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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