Tuesday, December 11, 2012

NBA Premium Play 12/10: Golden State Warriors @ Charlotte Bobcats


NBA - 703 Golden State Warriors @ 704 Charlotte Bobcats

Projected Line: Golden State by 1 point

The public is loving the Warriors in here, but the reason why the line has reached the 5 points mark in most sportsbooks in here is simply because the Bobcats are in fact a tough matchup for Golden State! The Warriors are shooting well with Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson, but defensively these two players aren't good and that's obviously good news for Charlotte's offense. The Bobcats depend a lot from the aggressiveness of their guards, especially Kemba Walker's penetrations into the basket. Golden State is only #23 on pick and roll ball handler defense and #25 on cuts defense, while they are allowing 65% FG at the rim, so Charlotte has indeed a good matchup on offense tonight.

Charlotte got crushed on their last game at home against San Antonio, where coach Dunlap started both Bismack Biyombo and DeSagana Diop on the frontcourt. Fortunately for them, Byron Mullens will be back on the starting lineup tonight and he will indeed have a good matchup against the Warriors' soft frontcourt tonight. Charlotte is a tough matchup for Golden State and I expect them to be a competitive home underdog tonight, while making this game a very close one. Therefore, I'll be taking the Bobcats in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 704 Charlotte Bobcats (+5) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada

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