NBA - 719 Dallas Mavericks @ 720 Boston Celtics
Projected Line: Boston by 9 points
Dallas will use a small lineup today, with the returning Shawn Marion playing at the PF position, while Dahntay Jones remains at SF. Boston's defense has been better lately and they have a huge mismatch for them tonight with Rajon Rondo going head to head with Derek Fisher. The Mavericks crushed Sacramento on their last game, while doing whenever they wanted on pick and rolls. But things won't be easy for Dallas tonight, as Boston is #3 on pick and roll defense.
The Mavericks will have an edge on transitions, but Doc Rivers will put Courtney Lee defending O.J. Mayo in crunch time. Dallas has been shooting well from the outside, but that has been due to Mayo. Boston's defensive improvement began with their better paint defense with a bigger lineup that doesn't require a lot of team help defense, so they are also doing the close outs to the outside better as well. This is why Boston has been also better on 3pts defense and spot ups defense lately as well.
With Dallas playing with a small lineup, their offense will depend from their perimeter shooting and Boston has been better on defense lately. On the other side, Rajon Rondo will have a tremendous edge tonight over Derek Fisher and with Rondo playing well, the whole Celtics' offense starting playing much better as well. Boston had 3 days of rest and to prepare for this contest, therefore I believe they will crush the Mavericks tonight. I'm taking Boston in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 720 Boston Celtics (-5,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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