Sunday, December 2, 2012

NBA Premium Play 12/01: Oklahoma City Thunder @ New Orleans Hornets


NBA - 507 Oklahoma City Thunder @ 508 New Orleans Hornets

Projected Line: 190 points

This will be the second game of this series and in the first one, the Thunder had a blowout win at New Orleans. The difference is that Oklahoma City was coming from a home loss against Memphis, so they were coming to that game in a bounce back mode. The pace of the first game of the series was super slow (85.02!!!) and coach Monty Williams said that he watched with his team the first game of this series on film and that the Thunder made a ton of contested shots, including five treys in a row. New Orleans will introduce some defensive adjustments for tonight, in order to stop the Thunder's guards to penetrate, just to make a kickout for the 3pts shot. 

Oklahoma City is on a bad spot for tonight, so I expect tonight's game to be played on a slow pace once again. New Orleans is just too dependent on offense from their 3pts shooting and their opponents are figuring them out, as even Utah that isn't an elite perimeter defensive team was able to held them to just 5-21 3pts on their last game! Oklahoma City has already faced them this season, so they will also be able to stop them. Monty Williams said that his team will turn this game into a halfcourt game and close Oklahoma City's dribble penetrations, so I believe on a low scoring game in here. I'm taking the Under on this contest.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 507/508 Under 194 @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada

No comments:

Post a Comment