NBA - 511 Boston Celtics @ 512 Milwaukee Bucks
Projected Line: 191 points
Both teams are on a back to back spot tonight. By inserting Courtney Lee instead of Leandro Barbosa, Boston's defense is clearly improved. With Milwaukee lacking the frontcourt offense to pound the Celtics down low, barring some offensive rebounds, this will allow Boston to defend well the perimeter tonight. The Celtics played a fantastic defensive game yesterday by covering well both the three-point arc and the rim, while forcing 21 turnovers to the Blazers. With Milwaukee being a perimeter team, just like Portland, this is another good spot for Boston's defense.
The Bucks are coming from a loss at Minnesota, with Ersan Ilyasova being benched, leaving the frontcourt to Samuel Dalembert, John Henson, Larry Sanders and Ekpe Udoh, four players with no good offensive skills. Milwaukee's offense is now clearly one-dimensional on the perimeter and so, it was easy for the Wolves to defend them. Both Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings had a lot of volume with 8-22 FG and 6-19 FG respectively, but they were well defended as well. With Beno Udrih doubtful for today, the Bucks' second unit will also lack offensive power at the PG spot.
This is a game between two teams that like to shoot from the perimeter and on a back to back spot, I expect both teams to struggle offensively tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 511/512 Under 195 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
No comments:
Post a Comment