Projected Line: Chicago by 6 points
There's a lot of people that think that Seattle is going to make an upset today, but I believe Chicago's defense will once again compensate any lack of offensive production from Jay Cutler and Matt Forte. Russell Wilson is a rookie quarterback and even though he played very well last week in Miami, it's clear that he is still struggling on the road. Chicago takes advantage of every single bad pass thrown by the opposing quarterback and they will take advantage of Wilson's errors today. Marshawn Lynch is banged up with a back injury, so I believe Chicago will pretty much shutdown Seattle's offense, while the Bears offense should be able to put some points on the board today, especially while taking advantage of Seattle's quickly regressing run defense. I believe Chicago is the better team in here and they deserve more than the typical home court advantage line. I'm taking the Bears today.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 340 Chicago Bears (-3) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NFL Week 13 - 343 San Francisco 49ers @ 344 St Louis Rams
Projected Line: San Francisco by 10 points
The game between these two teams played in San Francisco ended in a tie, so the 49ers are fired up to show the Rams that they are by far the best team on their division. Colin Kaepernick is playing very well and his mobility should also help him in running away from St Louis' good pass rush. The 49ers' running game lost Kendall Hunter, but they still have Frank Gore to pound the Rams today, so I believe San Francisco will have a decent offensive game. But where I expect San Francisco to show up today is on defense. Sam Bradford won't have his main receiver Danny Amendola today and the 49ers' pass rush has reappeared over the last few weeks. I expect Bradford to heavily struggle today, while their running game won't have an easier task against the #3 best run defense in the league. I believe San Francisco will pick up a blowout win today to show the Rams that they are clearly the better team and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 343 San Francisco 49ers (-7) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
NFL Week 13 - 363 Cincinnati Bengals @ 364 San Diego Chargers
Projected Line: San Diego by 3 points
The public is pounding Cincinnati on this contest, but I believe San Diego has a good spot to pick up a win today. The Chargers are coming from a heartbreaking home loss against Baltimore last week, so I expect them to show up today and prove that they are still contending for a playoffs spot. They are 4-7 right now, but they are used to perform this kind of comeback miracles. Philip Rivers has a nice matchup against the Bengals' mediocre secondary, while San Diego's running game should also be able to give Rivers some support on offense today. Andy Dalton has been quite inconsistent this season and with the Bengals' running game unable to give him some support due to the fact that the Chargers' run defense is quite good, I believe that Dalton will struggle today and he will eventually commit some errors. I don't think Cincinnati is a solid enough team this season to be a road favorite against a team with the potential of San Diego, so I'm taking the Chargers to win today.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 364 San Diego Chargers (+1,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada
2-Team 6pts Teaser:
NFL Week 13 - 353 New England Patriots @ 354 Miami Dolphins
NFL Week 13 - 357 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 358 Denver Broncos
Even though Miami is a good defensive team, their offense is quite poor and they won't be able to keep up with New England's high potent offense. The Dolphins will inevitably allow a considerable number of points today and neither Ryan Tannehill or their running game has enough quality to keep them in the game on this kind of matchup.
Denver is currently carrying a lot of momentum and they won't have problems in taking advantage of the Buccaneers' very poor secondary. Sure the Bucs have a good offense, but Denver has the best pass rush in the league and they are good against both the running and the passing game, so I don't believe Josh Freeman and Doug Martin will be able to produce the necessary amount of offense that they would require to hang with Denver's top offense on a very good matchup for them.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 353 New England Patriots (-2) x 358 Denver Broncos (-3) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
NFL Week 13 - 365 Philadelphia Eagles @ 366 Dallas Cowboys
Projected Line: 40 points
Philadelphia is now being led on offense by two rookies and while Nick Foles has been poor, Bryce Brown is actually coming from a very good game against Carolina. The problem is that on a short week, I don't believe Brown will be able to repeat such performance against a reasonable run defense like Dallas'. On the other hand, Dallas' offense isn't impressing me neither, as Tony Romo keeps being very inconsistent and their running game is last on the league in yards per carry. I believe the Cowboys will score some points tonight, as the Eagles' secondary is a complete mess right now, but they won't absolutely pound Philadelphia's defense today, as they won't have the offensive quality for that. I believe Dallas will shutdown Philadelphia's offense on the other hand, therefore I expect a low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 365/366 Under 44 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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