NBA - 701 Phoenix Suns @ 702 New York Knicks
Projected Line: 202 points
We have a matchup in here that clearly favors a shootout. The Knicks continue with their red hot offense and they have had offensive rates of 120.25, 120.85, 105.02, 134.60, 116.76 and 121.49 on their last six games! Their offense is based on a combination of pick and rolls, spot ups and isolation plays and with Steve Novak regaining his shooting touch, the Knicks are back into being a top team in 3pts shooting by being #3 in the league with 41.7% 3pts! They will be facing the worst perimeter defensive team in the league today, as Phoenix is allowing 43.9% 3pts and 1.17 PPP on spot up plays, so this is the perfect matchup for the Knicks offense. Already on the Suns' last game in Toronto, Toronto explored Phoenix's poor perimeter defense with 7-16 FG on pick and roll ball handler, 6-17 FG on spot ups and 7-9 FG in transition plays!
So, the question in here is to know what Phoenix will do on offense today. Unlike Washington for example, Phoenix is a team that bases their offensive game on their frontcourt, as they are #8 on points in the paint with 43.6 ppg this season and 46.0 ppg on their last nine games. The Knicks' defense is a good matchup for them, as the Knicks play with a small lineup, so they aren't a top team in protecting the paint (#3 worst in the league with 67.6% FG allowed at the rim). Phoenix likes to play on a fast pace (#5 fastest in the league), so I expect a fast paced game in here, with both teams taking advantage of their offensive edges today to make this contest a high scoring one. I'm taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701/702 Over 198 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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