NBA - 519 Indiana Pacers @ 520 Golden State Warriors
Projected Line: 185 points | Golden State by 7 points
Indiana is coming from a road win in Sacramento last night, on a game that they won mainly thanks to David West and George Hill, who were very reliable once again and saved the team down the stretch. They will now play at Golden State, on a very interesting duel between frontcourts. Indiana needs David West to be competitive, while David Lee absolutely crushed Denver last Thursday. We are in presence of two top defensive rebounding teams (Golden State is #1 with 75.4%, while Indiana is #3 with 75.3%), so there won't be a lot of second chance points on tonight's contest and this will be a problem for both offenses.
The key factor on this game will be the backcourt edge the Warriors will have. Klay Thompson, Stephen Curry and Jarrett Jack have been playing well, while Indiana has only George Hill as the team's only reliable backcourt player and he is actually coming from a high usage game at Sacramento last game, where he shot 9-14 FG, while scoring 25 points and dishing 8 assists. Golden State has been able to play well on run and gun games as usual, but they have also been able to play well against tough physical teams, where they can also outplay their opponents on half court games. I expect a low scoring game in here, with Golden State getting a comfortable win due to having a much better spot in here, so I'll be taking both the Warriors and the Under tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 519/520 Under 189 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 520 Golden State Warriors (-4) @ -115 / 1.87 on Betonline
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