Monday, December 3, 2012

NBA Free Premium Play 12/03: Los Angeles Clippers @ Utah Jazz

  
LA Clippers  at Utah 
NBA - 509 Los Angeles Clippers @ 510 Utah Jazz
Projected Line: LA Clippers by 4 points

Utah is coming from a loss in Houston, where their tired legs and Derrick Favors out of the games allowed the Rockets to pound them on the inside. Houston shot 23-32 FG at the rim, while at the same time, the Rockets were also red hot from the outside. Their guards took advantage of Utah's guards poor individual defense, with Randy Foye and Mo Williams getting completely outplayed. Utah also played a good offensive game and made the game relatively close with 8-16 FG and 1.06 PPP on post ups and 6-9 FG on cuts.
But the Jazz will have a tough matchup tonight against the Clippers' guards led by Chris Paul. Derrick Favors' absence is a huge blow to Utah's defense and with the Jazz being just #26 on defending pick and roll ball handler plays and #28 in defending spot ups, the Clippers' offense has just too much offense for the poor Jazz defense to handle them tonight.

The Clippers have been struggling against teams that shoot well from the outside, as their frontcourt isn't good in closing outs and in defensive rotations. This is why New Orleans for example pounded them, with Ryan Anderson having a big game. However, Utah's offense is based around post ups from their frontcourt and the Clippers' interior defense is good by being #3 in the league in points in the paint allowed with 37.1 ppg. I believe the LA team has a great matchup tonight and so, I believe they will get the win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 509 Los Angeles Clippers ML @ -130 / 1.77 on Bookmaker

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