MLB Free Premium Play 09/02

MLB Free Pick: 971 Los Angeles Angels @ 972 Houston Astros

(Starting Pitchers: C. Wilson vs. B. Peacock)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Over 9 @ +100 / 2.00 on Bookmaker

Detailed Write Up:

LAA’s SP C.J. Wilson is coming from 3 quality starts in which he allowed 3, 1 & 1 ER’s but his pheripals didn’t improve at all: high pitch count numbers & poor K/BB ratios. In those 3 starts he couldn’t reach the 7th IP and had a pedestrian 10/10 K/BB.

However, I feel that he faced some favorable matchups as suddenly the A’s couldn’t hit while the Red Sox offense has been struggling for a long time. This can’t be said about this HOU lineup that is elite vs. LHP’s this season – I have them ranked #3 in the league! This is a bad matchup for him…

On the other end, I expect the Angel’s offense to produce some runs off B. Peacock. Like Wilson, Peacock faced OAK on his last start, and even though he managed to allow just 1 ER in 5.1 IP’s of work note that he walked 5 (!) batters! I don’t think that he will have such “luck” against this LAA potent lineup.