NBA - 715 Utah Jazz @ 716 Oklahoma City Thunder
Projected Line: Oklahoma City by 12 points
Oklahoma City's offense has been unstoppable lately with 114.25, 127.60, 128.53, 118.14, 105.69, 122.95, 124.84 and 127.97 offensive rates over their last eight games! They are sharing the ball, Russell Westbrook isn't taking forced shots and he is helping the team in rotating the ball better than usual. The Thunder are shooting extremely well from the 3pts line and this will be a problem for Utah's defense, as Mo Williams will play tonight and Utah is a much worse defensive team with him on the floor. With Mo Williams on the floor, Utah is allowing their opponents to have a 110.6 offensive rate, while with Mo Williams out, they are just allowing 100.8! As I don't believe he will be at 100% physically tonight, he will get crushed by Russell Westbrook tonight. With Marvin Williams out with a concussion, Utah has no depth to defend Kevin Durant. Paul Millsap may play some minutes at the SF position, but he has no speed to defend Durant. So, I expect Utah's defense to heavily struggle tonight.
On the other side, Oklahoma City's defense has been playing very well, especially on protecting the paint, as they are #4 in defending post up plays, while allowing just 62% FG at the rim! Serge Ibaka and Kendrick Perkins are good defenders and they will limit Utah's good offensive frontcourt tonight. This is a good spot for Oklahoma City, a team that has been playing very well at home this season, so I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 716 Oklahoma City Thunder (-9) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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