Saturday, December 1, 2012

NBA Premium Play 11/30: Philadelphia 76ers @ Charlotte Bobcats


NBA - 703 Philadelphia 76ers @ 704 Charlotte Bobcats

Projected Line: Philadelphia by 8 points

Charlotte is coming from a road loss in Atlanta, where they struggled a lot on playing halfcourt offense. Atlanta closed well the paint and Charlotte struggled to create easy points opportunities. In fact, the Bobcats shot 11-20 FG at the rim and 2-4 FG from 3-9 feet! They were just competitive because they were able to shoot 12-24 3pts, with Ben Gordon being amazing with 7-10 3pts! Atlanta had an edge on boards and great ball movement, but they struggled on their perimeter shooting with 12-32 3pts!

The Bobcats are extremely dependent from what their backcourt does and in fact, Kemba Walker and Ramon Sessions are taking 28.7 shots per game and this high volume of production from their backcourt can be well limited by the Sixers' great backcourt defense. Philadelphia's interior defense hasn't been great, but it won't be well explored by Charlotte, who takes most of their shots from the perimeter, including frontcourt players like Byron Mullens!

Philadelphia will also have a tremendous size advantage on the backcourt. Jrue Holiday will dominate Kemba Walker in both ends of the floor, with the Bobcats' bad perimeter defense being exposed by the suddenly red hot outside shooting from Philadelphia, as they are shooting 65% 3pts over the last seven games! Philadelphia doesn't commit turnovers and this will only make the Bobcats' offensive job tonight even tougher. The Sixers are a terrible matchup for Charlotte and so, I expect Philadelphia to pick up an easy win tonight. I'm taking the Sixers tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 703 Philadelphia 76ers (-3,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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