NBA - 805 New Jersey Nets @ 806 Toronto Raptors
Projected line: 185 points
Fortunately for them, New Jersey has Deron Williams and Kris Humphries back! Looking at basketballvalue.com website, only Deron, Humphries, Brooks and Gaines have Net positive offrates with them on the court, so we can expect a better offensive game from the Nets tonight, as worse than they did at Boston is impossible! As obviously, the most efficient play of the Nets offense is the P&R where they ranked #7 in the league (Deron factor) and the Raptors defense is weak on that play by being ranked just #21!
On the other side, Toronto's offense has been showing an excellent flow! Bargnani will have the edge agsinst Okur, as the lack of mobility from the Turkish player will be evident. Also DeRozan vs Deron will be a clear mismatch! Toronto has been having a superb A/rate with 68% and they will easily exposed the Nets poor defense! The Raptors are being also an exellent team on spot up plays and P&R roll man, with Calderon showing good form at the beginning of the season. I don't expect such a poor offensive game as the lines show, as I have a projection of 185 points for this contest. So, I'll take the over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 805/806 Over 181,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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