Saturday, July 28, 2012

Olympic Games 07/28: Women's Basketball - Brazil vs France


Olympic Games - Women's Basketball - Brazil vs France

Brazil would be the main contender for the bronze medal if Iziane Castro Marques, one of their best guards, wasn't expelled from the team after bringing her boyfriend to the Olympic village. Without Marques, they lose some strength on their backcourt, but they continue being a good team, especially on the frontcourt where they have Atlanta Dream's center Erika de Souza, one of the most dominant players in the world. With Erika leading the team down low, Brazil will surely get some easy points in the paint.

On the other hand, France has also their best player down low with Sandrine Gruda. These two teams faced each other 8 days ago in a friendly game, with France winning by 10 points. In that game, Erika played horribly and got fouled out, playing just 21 minutes of the game. Gruda took advantage of that and had 17 points and 11 rebounds. This was such a poor performance from Brazil that in the following day, against the more powerful Australian team, Erika bounced back with 24 points and shooting 10-17 GH, while Australian center Lauren Jackson (one of the best players in the world) was stopped by shooting just 1-11 FG.

With Erika at their normal level, I expect Brazil to be a tough opponent today and I wouldn't be even surprised if they win this game outright. Therefore, I'll take Brazil plus the points today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Brazil (+10) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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