NBA Premium Play: Chicago @ Miami - Game 4

NBA - 515 Chicago Bulls @ 516 Miami Heat

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Projected line: 175 points | pk line

On my G3 detailed write up I’ve said the following:

“In my opinion the Bulls will have a better spot to be competitive in the next game – next Tuesday.”

For the first time in this series, fatigue will be a factor and this ultimately favors the “deeper team” – the Chicago Bulls! Note that in the first three games of the series both teams had at least 2 days off to rest, however for tonight we are talking about of just one day off to rest! This is important because it has been a tough and physical series so far… In G3, Lebron James played 44min; Wade 39min and/or Bosh 43min! For the Bulls, only Deng logged more than 40 minutes of action…

In terms of adjustments, it might be strange to say but Heat’s head coach Spoelstra completely outcoached the coach of the year Thibodeau! Once again, the Bulls didn’t want James and/or Wade to get clean shots near the basket, Spoelstra recognized that and that’s why Chris Bosh enjoyed one of the best games of his career. Due to all the adjustments made, the Heat was ultra effective on the offensive end: they shot 50.7% from the field; 25-29 FT and after shooting 4-18 FG & 4-16 FG from 16-23 feet, the Heat shot 10-19 FG from that distance!

I expect the Bulls to bring a better defensive game plan for tonight… and I’m pretty confident that by no means Chris Bosh will have another big game. With the Heat having more problems to score w/high %FG’s, the battle of the boards will be crucial.

The Bulls completely dominated the boards in G3 so in a potential low scoring game I think that the Bulls will have some advantage in here…

Derrick Rose has been well defended so far in the series especially in the pick n roll plays. I’ve read some comments by him after G3 and I expect the Bulls to change some offensive plays for tonight in order to surprise the Heat.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 515/516 Under 179 @ -110 / 1.91 on The Greek

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 515 Chicago Bulls (+5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker