Thursday, January 3, 2013

NBA Premium Play 01/02: Philadelphia 76ers @ Phoenix Suns


NBA - 719 Philadelphia 76ers @ 720 Phoenix Suns

Projected Line: 190 points

Philadelphia has a poor spot tonight and they tend to struggle offensive on poor offenses. They had a nice win yesterday, where their guards crushed the slow footed Lakers defense, with Jrue Holiday shooting 10-19 FG, Evan Turner 8-14 FG and even Thaddeus Young completely outplayed the slow Pau Gasol to shoot 6-15 FG. Their frontcourt also played well on offense. The problem for them tonight is the heavy minutes their starting lineup played last night: Jrue Holiday 39 minutes, Evan Turner 41 minutes and Thaddeus Young 36 minutes! 
 
On the other hand, Phoenix is coming back home after a road trip where they lost at Indiana, Minnesota and Oklahoma City. They struggled in stopping Minnesota's and Indiana's frontcourt, while they got normally outplayed by the top team of the Thunder. For tonight, the Suns won't have to worry in getting outplayed down low. They will have the problem of facing the Sixers backcourt, but they are on a poor physical spot for tonight, so the Suns defensive task will be easier, especially now that P.J. Tucker is starting over Jared Dudley, while giving more speed to the Suns backcourt.

On the first two between these two teams, Michael Beasley had a big game with 8-13 FG and 21 points, something that isn't going to happen today, as he is on the doghouse right now. I expect a slow paced game in here, with both teams struggling on offense due to poor spots, therefore I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 719/720 Under 195 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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